Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 279
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF GOODLAND KANSAS TO 35 MILES EAST OF LIBERAL KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 278...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
EASTERN CO AND WESTERN KS THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES
REGION. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
PROMOTE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH
THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 279 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 081915Z - 090200Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE GLD/GOODLAND KS/ - 35E LBL/LIBERAL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /21ENE GLD - 30E LBL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 39479948 37029861 37020205 39470305
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 279 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 279
VALID 082230Z - 082340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/08/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 279
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-099-082340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-145-151-165-171-175-179-181-185-189-193-
195-199-203-082340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RUSH
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STAFFORD STEVENS
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 279
VALID 082140Z - 082240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/08/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 279
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-099-082240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-145-151-165-171-175-179-181-185-189-193-
195-199-203-082240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RUSH
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STAFFORD STEVENS
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 279
VALID 082050Z - 082140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/08/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 279
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-099-082140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON
PROWERS
$$
KSC007-025-033-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-145-151-165-171-175-179-181-185-189-193-
195-199-203-082140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
PAWNEE PRATT RUSH
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STAFFORD STEVENS
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.