Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM EDT SAT MAY 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
WESTERN MAINE
NEW HAMPSHIRE
PARTS OF VERMONT
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF
LEBANON NEW HAMPSHIRE TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PORTLAND
MAINE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
EWD ACROSS WATCH AREA AHEAD OF DEEPENING SURFACE LOW AND STRONG JET
STREAM. WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY IN PLACE AND FAVORABLE VEERING
PROFILES...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WHICH WOULD ENHANCE
POTENTIAL OF DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND POSSIBLE BRIEF TORNADOES.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 283 SEVERE TSTM MA ME NH VT 091940Z - 100200Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25W LEB/LEBANON NH/ - 45NNE PWM/PORTLAND ME/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /37SSW MPV - 57NNE ENE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26045.
LAT...LON 44797280 45406995 43096995 42477280
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 283 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 283
VALID 100120Z - 100200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW EEN
TO 30 SSE CON.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 283 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
10/02Z.
..KERR..05/10/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC011-013-015-017-027-100200-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE
MIDDLESEX WORCESTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 283
VALID 100030Z - 100140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW EEN
TO 25 SW PSM.
..KERR..05/10/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC011-013-015-017-027-100140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE
MIDDLESEX WORCESTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 283
VALID 092330Z - 100040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MEC001-005-007-017-031-100040-
ME
. MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
OXFORD YORK
$$
MAC011-013-015-017-027-100040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE
MIDDLESEX WORCESTER
$$
NHC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-100040-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELKNAP CARROLL CHESHIRE
COOS GRAFTON HILLSBOROUGH
MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD
SULLIVAN
$$
VTC005-009-011-015-017-019-023-027-100040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALEDONIA ESSEX FRANKLIN
LAMOILLE ORANGE ORLEANS
WASHINGTON WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 283
VALID 092235Z - 092340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MEC001-005-007-017-031-092340-
ME
. MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
OXFORD YORK
$$
MAC011-092340-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN
$$
NHC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-092340-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELKNAP CARROLL CHESHIRE
COOS GRAFTON HILLSBOROUGH
MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD
SULLIVAN
$$
VTC005-009-011-015-017-019-023-027-092340-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALEDONIA ESSEX FRANKLIN
LAMOILLE ORANGE ORLEANS
WASHINGTON WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 283
VALID 092135Z - 092240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BOX...GYX...BTV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MEC001-005-007-017-031-092240-
ME
. MAINE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDROSCOGGIN CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
OXFORD YORK
$$
MAC011-092240-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN
$$
NHC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-092240-
NH
. NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELKNAP CARROLL CHESHIRE
COOS GRAFTON HILLSBOROUGH
MERRIMACK ROCKINGHAM STRAFFORD
SULLIVAN
$$
VTC005-009-011-015-017-019-023-027-092240-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALEDONIA ESSEX FRANKLIN
LAMOILLE ORANGE ORLEANS
WASHINGTON WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.