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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 284
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM EDT SAT MAY 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN DELAWARE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MARYLAND
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 620 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SALISBURY MARYLAND TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW
282...WW 283...
DISCUSSION...SMALL NNE-SSW SQLN MCS IN CNTRL NC...AND ISOLD
SUSTAINED STORMS OVER ERN VA...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY ENE AT
40 KTS. WARM BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF STORMS...MODERATE LARGELY
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP WSW FLOW...AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF MID
LVL IMPULSE TOGETHER SUGGEST A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND GUSTS
AND SOME HAIL THROUGH MID/LATE EVE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26040.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 284 SEVERE TSTM DE MD NC VA CW 092220Z - 100500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNE SBY/SALISBURY MD/ - 30SSW GSB/GOLDSBORO NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /20WSW SIE - 45NNW ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 38917387 35047694 35047941 38917648
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 284 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 284
VALID 100120Z - 100240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE ECG TO
45 ENE RZZ TO 20 SE DOV.
..KERR..05/10/09
ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC039-045-047-100240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
VAC001-093-115-131-175-550-620-650-700-710-740-800-810-100240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK ISLE OF WIGHT MATHEWS
NORTHAMPTON SOUTHAMPTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE FRANKLIN HAMPTON
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PORTSMOUTH
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
$$
ANZ455-630-631-632-650-652-654-656-100240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 284
VALID 100025Z - 100140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
HOWEVER...IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...NORTH CAROLINA PORTIONS MAY
BE CANCELLED EARLY.
..KERR..05/10/09
ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC005-100140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SUSSEX
$$
MDC009-011-019-039-041-045-047-100140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT CAROLINE DORCHESTER
SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-079-083-
085-091-093-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-
165-177-183-187-191-195-100140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
VAC001-073-081-093-095-115-119-131-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-
650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-100140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK GLOUCESTER GREENSVILLE
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY MATHEWS
MIDDLESEX NORTHAMPTON SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-ANZ455-533-534-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-658-
100140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 284
VALID 092330Z - 100040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC005-100040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SUSSEX
$$
MDC009-011-019-039-041-045-047-100040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT CAROLINE DORCHESTER
SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-079-083-
085-091-093-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-
165-177-183-187-191-195-100040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
VAC001-073-081-093-095-115-119-131-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-
650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-100040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK GLOUCESTER GREENSVILLE
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY MATHEWS
MIDDLESEX NORTHAMPTON SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-ANZ455-533-534-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-658-
100040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.