Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 284
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN KANSAS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 810 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 281. WATCH NUMBER 281 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT
AFTER 810 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 282...WW 283...
DISCUSSION...LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG STRONG COLD
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SWRN KS THIS EVENING AND SPREAD QUICKLY
SEWD ACROSS WW OVERNIGHT ALONG NOSE OF STRENGTHENING SSWLY LLJ.
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS...WHICH SHOULD MOVE INTO SERN KS/NERN OK BEFORE WEAKENING
LATER TONIGHT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 284 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 090110Z - 090700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60WNW P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/ - 35ENE BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /57ESE GCK - 16SW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
REPLACES WW 281..KS
LAT...LON 38499958 37839543 36099543 36759958
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 284 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 284
VALID 090540Z - 090640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE END
TO 35 S ICT TO 35 WSW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 833
..GUYER..05/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-125-205-090640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD MONTGOMERY
WILSON
$$
OKC071-103-105-113-117-147-090640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KAY NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 284
VALID 090430Z - 090540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE AVK
TO 30 SW ICT TO 15 ENE HUT.
..GRAMS..05/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-019-035-049-073-079-125-173-191-205-090540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD HARVEY
MONTGOMERY SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON
$$
OKC047-053-071-103-105-113-117-147-090540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARFIELD GRANT KAY
NOBLE NOWATA OSAGE
PAWNEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 284
VALID 090340Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W AVK TO
10 NE P28 TO 20 NW HUT.
..PETERS..05/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-125-155-173-191-205-
090440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MONTGOMERY RENO SEDGWICK
SUMNER WILSON
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-103-105-113-117-147-151-090440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE WASHINGTON
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 284
VALID 090230Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DDC TO
35 S RSL.
..PETERS..05/09/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 284
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-019-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-097-125-151-155-173-
185-191-205-090340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COMANCHE COWLEY ELK
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN KIOWA MONTGOMERY
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER WILSON
$$
OKC003-047-053-071-103-105-113-117-147-151-090340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA GARFIELD GRANT
KAY NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE WASHINGTON
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.