Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 288
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST
OF BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ANGLETON
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS
WATCH AREA AS SURFACE BOUNDARIES MOVE SEWD THRU A MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. ALTHOUGH SHEAR IS MARGINAL...INSTABILITY SUPPORTS DAMAGING
WINDS WITH HAIL IN STRONGER UPDRAFTS AS THEY MOVE SLOWLY E/SE ACROSS
THE WATCH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 288 SEVERE TSTM LA MS TX CW 111950Z - 120100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NE BTR/BATON ROUGE LA/ - 25NNW LBX/ANGLETON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /30SW MCB - 34SSW IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 30009066 28519562 30389562 31879066
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 288 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 288
VALID 120030Z - 120100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW 7R4
TO 20 NNW 7R4 TO 30 E LFT TO 35 WNW HUM.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 288 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
12/01Z.
..KERR..05/12/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC045-099-101-120100-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
IBERIA ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
$$
GMZ430-435-455-120100-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 288
VALID 120000Z - 120140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW 7R4
TO 25 NW LFT TO 20 SSW MCB.
..KERR..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC033-037-045-047-055-077-091-099-101-121-120140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA
IBERVILLE LAFAYETTE POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
GMZ430-435-455-120140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 288
VALID 112320Z - 120040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE UTS
TO 15 W LCH TO 20 SSW MCB.
..KERR..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-019-023-033-037-045-047-053-055-077-091-097-099-101-113-
121-120040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA CALCASIEU CAMERON
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA IBERIA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION
WEST BATON ROUGE
$$
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-245-291-361-120040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JEFFERSON LIBERTY ORANGE
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-435-450-452-455-120040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 288
VALID 112250Z - 112340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE LFK
TO 35 NW LCH TO 15 NW MCB.
..KERR..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-019-023-033-037-039-045-047-053-055-077-091-097-099-
101-113-121-125-112340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN CALCASIEU
CAMERON EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE IBERIA IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY VERMILION WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-113-157-112340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE PIKE WILKINSON
$$
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-245-291-361-112340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JEFFERSON LIBERTY ORANGE
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-435-450-452-455-112340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 288
VALID 112240Z - 112340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-033-037-039-045-047-053-055-
077-079-091-097-099-101-113-115-121-125-112340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE IBERIA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
VERMILION VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-063-085-113-157-112340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
JEFFERSON LINCOLN PIKE
WILKINSON
$$
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-241-245-291-351-361-457-112340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
NEWTON ORANGE TYLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-435-450-452-455-112340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 288
VALID 112135Z - 112240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-
055-059-077-079-091-097-099-101-113-115-121-125-112240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE GRANT
IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LA SALLE POINTE COUPEE
RAPIDES ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION
VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-063-085-113-157-112240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
JEFFERSON LINCOLN PIKE
WILKINSON
$$
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-241-245-291-351-361-457-112240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
NEWTON ORANGE TYLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-435-450-452-455-112240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 288
VALID 112035Z - 112140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..05/11/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...LIX...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 288
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-025-029-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-
055-059-077-079-091-097-099-101-113-115-121-125-112140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE GRANT
IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LA SALLE POINTE COUPEE
RAPIDES ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION
VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-063-085-113-157-112140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
JEFFERSON LINCOLN PIKE
WILKINSON
$$
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-241-245-291-351-361-457-112140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
NEWTON ORANGE TYLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-435-450-452-455-112140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILLION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.