Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 289
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT SAT JUN 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI
SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
OMAHA NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CONCORDIA KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 288...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN ZONE OF DCVA/WAA AHEAD OF
AMPLIFYING...DIFFLUENT UPR TROUGH NOW OVER CNTRL NEB. WHILE BOUNDARY
LAYER BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN LIMITED...COMBINATION OF WIND PROFILES
AND DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS. THESE MAY YIELD LOCALLY DMGG WIND...MARGINALLY
SVR HAIL. A COUPLE TORNADOES ALSO MAY OCCUR GIVEN SIZABLE LOW-LVL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR /ESPECIALLY NEAR WEAK WNW-ESE FRONT IN ERN NEB/.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 289 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 082100Z - 090400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW OMA/OMAHA NE/ - 30SSE CNK/CONCORDIA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /50NW OVR - 15NE SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 41759497 39139594 39139893 41759806
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 289 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 289
VALID 090225Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W TOP TO
5 SSW SDA TO 10 ENE SDA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1002
..COHEN..06/09/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC005-087-147-090340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 289
VALID 090130Z - 090240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW SLN
TO 30 E CNK TO 45 NE MHK TO 20 SSW SDA TO 10 WSW DNS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1002
..COHEN..06/09/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-129-137-145-155-165-090240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-117-131-143-149-161-201-090240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY MARSHALL NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-090240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC127-147-090240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 289
VALID 090055Z - 090140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW SLN
TO 35 NNE CNK TO 10 ENE BIE TO 10 ENE TQE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1002
..COHEN..06/09/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-137-145-155-165-090140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-117-131-143-149-161-201-090140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY MARSHALL NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-090140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC025-055-067-097-127-131-133-147-153-090140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JOHNSON NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SARPY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 289
VALID 082325Z - 090040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW SLN
TO 35 NNE CNK TO 30 W TQE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1000
..COHEN..06/08/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-137-145-155-165-090040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-117-131-143-149-161-201-090040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY MARSHALL NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-090040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC023-025-053-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-
159-177-090040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CASS DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LANCASTER NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 289
VALID 082245Z - 082340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE RSL TO
20 NNW CNK TO 50 SSW HSI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1000
..COHEN..06/08/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-137-145-155-165-082340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-117-123-131-143-149-157-161-201-082340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY MARSHALL MITCHELL
NEMAHA OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-082340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC001-023-025-035-037-053-055-059-061-067-079-081-095-097-099-
109-121-125-127-129-131-133-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-169-177-
181-185-082340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUTLER CASS
CLAY COLFAX DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
GAGE HALL HAMILTON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
LANCASTER MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PLATTE POLK
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD THAYER
WASHINGTON WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 289
VALID 082135Z - 082240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..06/08/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-137-145-155-165-082240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-089-117-123-131-141-143-149-157-161-183-201-
082240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL NEMAHA OSBORNE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
MOC005-087-147-082240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT NODAWAY
$$
NEC001-023-025-035-037-053-055-059-061-067-079-081-095-097-099-
109-121-125-127-129-131-133-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-169-177-
181-185-082240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUTLER CASS
CLAY COLFAX DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
GAGE HALL HAMILTON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
LANCASTER MERRICK NANCE
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PLATTE POLK
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD THAYER
WASHINGTON WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.