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Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295
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WW0295 Radar
Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
High Moderate

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 295
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   455 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST KANSAS
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHANUTE
   KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294...
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM
   ERN KS INTO N CENTRAL MO.  STRONG INSTABILITY IS PRESENT SE OF THE
   FRONT /MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG/ AND THE CAP IS
   WEAKENING...THUS STORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE QUICKLY THIS EVENING
   AS THE FRONT MOVES SEWD.  THE INITIAL STORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY
   LARGE HAIL GIVEN MORE DISCRETE CELLS AND LOW-MID LEVEL VERTICAL
   SHEAR THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF SOME SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. 
   HOWEVER...STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO A MORE LINEAR MODE GIVEN
   STORM INTERACTIONS...FLOW PARALLEL TO THE BOUNDARY...AND SOMEWHAT
   UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES WITH WEAKER FLOW ABOVE 500 MB. 
   DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT
   AS THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A SEWD MOVING SQUALL LINE.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28035.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON
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