Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 305
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
910 AM EDT THU JUN 13 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 910 AM UNTIL
200 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
PARKERSBURG WEST VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING
GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 303...WW 304...
DISCUSSION...AIDED BY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
PIVOTING ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
THROUGH MID DAY...A CLUSTER OF STORMS IS IN THE PROCESS OF EVOLVING.
ACTIVITY IS NOW GENERALLY FOCUSED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF A COLD
FRONT AND OUTFLOW FROM STORMS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST...BETWEEN CINCINNATI AND LOUISVILLE. HOWEVER...SOUTHWARD
DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS ALONG THE FRONT TOWARD THE TENNESSEE BORDER IS
POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU. POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS PROBABLY WILL INCREASE
AS THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF STORMS CONTINUES TO WARM AND
DESTABILIZE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28040.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 305 SEVERE TSTM KY OH WV 131310Z - 131800Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NE PKB/PARKERSBURG WV/ - 25SSE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /24SSW AIR - 20SSE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
LAT...LON 39637915 36618444 36618805 39638291
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 305 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 305
VALID 131735Z - 131800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE HOP
TO 55 W LOZ TO 5 NNW CRW TO 30 E MGW.
WW 305 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 131800Z.
..GARNER..06/13/13
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-051-063-065-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-131-133-
147-153-159-175-189-193-195-199-203-231-235-237-131800-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLOYD
HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
WVC005-045-059-131800-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE LOGAN MINGO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 305
VALID 131630Z - 131740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE HOP
TO 30 NNW JKL TO 10 W MGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1060
..GARNER..06/13/13
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-013-021-025-045-051-053-057-063-065-071-079-087-095-099-
109-115-119-121-125-129-131-133-137-147-151-153-155-159-169-175-
189-193-195-199-203-207-217-231-235-237-131740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BELL BOYLE
BREATHITT CASEY CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLOYD GARRARD
GREEN HARLAN HART
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LETCHER LINCOLN
MCCREARY MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MARTIN METCALFE
MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL TAYLOR WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
WVC001-005-007-015-017-021-033-039-041-043-045-059-091-097-099-
131740-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CLAY DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MINGO
TAYLOR UPSHUR WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 305
VALID 131540Z - 131640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE OWB
TO 40 WNW HTS TO 20 N PKB.
..GARNER..06/13/13
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-011-013-017-019-021-025-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-
065-067-069-071-079-087-089-095-099-109-113-115-119-121-123-125-
127-129-131-133-137-147-151-153-155-159-165-167-169-173-175-179-
181-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-207-217-229-231-235-237-239-
131640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BATH
BELL BOURBON BOYD
BOYLE BREATHITT CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
FLOYD GARRARD GREEN
GREENUP HARLAN HART
JACKSON JESSAMINE JOHNSON
KNOTT KNOX LARUE
LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE
LESLIE LETCHER LINCOLN
MCCREARY MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MARTIN MENIFEE
MERCER METCALFE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NELSON NICHOLAS
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN RUSSELL TAYLOR
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-163-167-131640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-045-053-
059-073-079-085-087-091-095-097-099-105-107-131640-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE GILMER HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MASON
MINGO PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RITCHIE ROANE TAYLOR
TYLER UPSHUR WAYNE
WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 305
VALID 131440Z - 131540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE SDF
TO 25 SSW ZZV.
..GARNER..06/13/13
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 305
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-011-013-017-019-021-025-029-043-045-049-051-053-057-
063-065-067-069-071-073-079-087-089-093-095-097-099-109-113-115-
119-121-123-125-127-129-131-133-135-137-147-151-153-155-159-161-
165-167-169-173-175-179-181-189-193-195-197-199-201-203-205-207-
209-211-215-217-229-231-235-237-239-131540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BATH
BELL BOURBON BOYD
BOYLE BREATHITT BULLITT
CARTER CASEY CLARK
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE
FLEMING FLOYD FRANKLIN
GARRARD GREEN GREENUP
HARDIN HARLAN HARRISON
HART JACKSON JESSAMINE
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LARUE LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
LEWIS LINCOLN MCCREARY
MADISON MAGOFFIN MARION
MARTIN MASON MENIFEE
MERCER METCALFE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NELSON NICHOLAS
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROBERTSON
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
TAYLOR WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-009-053-079-087-105-115-145-163-167-131540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS GALLIA
JACKSON LAWRENCE MEIGS
MORGAN SCIOTO VINTON
WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-005-007-011-013-015-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-045-053-
059-073-079-085-087-091-095-097-099-105-107-131540-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
CABELL CALHOUN CLAY
DODDRIDGE GILMER HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MASON
MINGO PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RITCHIE ROANE TAYLOR
TYLER UPSHUR WAYNE
WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.