Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 306
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN OHIO
EASTERN TENNESSEE
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 955 AM UNTIL 300
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF CHARLESTON
WEST VIRGINIA TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 304...WW 305...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE CYCLONE OVER THE MIDWEST WAS DRIVING
PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE RAPIDLY EAST TOWARD THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS
THIS MORNING. GENERALLY WEAK INSTABILITY WILL BE ENHANCED SOMEWHAT
BY ONGOING SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE LINE.
FURTHERMORE...MAGNITUDE OF FORCING AND SHEAR...WITH OVER 100KT JET
MAX AT 500MB...WILL SUPPORT NOT ONLY STORM PERSISTENCE BUT THE RAPID
EWD TRANSLATION OF THE BROKEN CONVECTIVE LINE. STRONGER MID LEVEL
WINDS MAY MORE READILY MIX DOWN ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS
CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH. HIGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALSO SUPPORTS BRIEF
TORNADO EVENTS WITH QUASI-DISCRETE CELLS WITHIN THE LINE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 306 TORNADO KY NC OH TN VA WV 111355Z - 111900Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40N CRW/CHARLESTON WV/ - 55S TYS/KNOXVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /23ENE HNN - 40WNW ODF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 38938047 35028294 35028505 38938270
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 306 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 306
VALID 111845Z - 111900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE TRI TO
40 S JKL TO 25 SW UNI.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 306 WILL PROBABLY BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 11/19Z.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-127-111900-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD LAWRENCE
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-111900-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS
$$
VAC027-051-173-185-111900-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON SMYTH
TAZEWELL
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-019-021-035-039-041-043-045-047-053-059-
067-079-081-087-099-105-109-111900-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
ROANE WAYNE WIRT
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 306
VALID 111750Z - 111840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE TRI
TO 45 ESE LOZ TO 30 SW UNI.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-127-111840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD LAWRENCE
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-111840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS
$$
VAC027-051-173-185-111840-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON SMYTH
TAZEWELL
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-019-021-035-039-041-043-045-047-053-059-
067-079-081-087-099-105-109-111840-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
ROANE WAYNE WIRT
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 306
VALID 111625Z - 111740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N AVL TO
45 ESE LOZ TO 30 SW UNI.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-071-095-115-127-133-159-195-111740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD FLOYD HARLAN
JOHNSON LAWRENCE LETCHER
MARTIN PIKE
$$
NCC011-121-199-111740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY MITCHELL YANCEY
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-111740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS
$$
TNC019-059-073-091-163-171-179-111740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER GREENE HAWKINS
JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-111740-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT SMYTH
TAZEWELL WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-019-021-035-039-041-043-045-047-053-059-
067-079-081-087-099-105-109-111740-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
ROANE WAYNE WIRT
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 306
VALID 111540Z - 111640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S TYS TO
30 SW UNI.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC019-071-095-115-119-127-131-133-153-159-193-195-111640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD FLOYD HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT LAWRENCE
LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN
MARTIN PERRY PIKE
$$
NCC011-021-039-043-075-087-089-099-113-115-121-173-175-199-
111640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE CHEROKEE
CLAY GRAHAM HAYWOOD
HENDERSON JACKSON MACON
MADISON MITCHELL SWAIN
TRANSYLVANIA YANCEY
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-111640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS
$$
TNC009-019-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-091-155-163-171-179-
111640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CARTER COCKE
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-111640-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT SMYTH
TAZEWELL WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-019-021-035-039-041-043-045-047-053-059-
067-079-081-087-099-105-109-111640-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
ROANE WAYNE WIRT
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 306
VALID 111430Z - 111540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-
153-159-175-189-193-195-235-237-111540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-039-043-075-087-089-099-113-115-121-173-175-199-
111540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE CHEROKEE
CLAY GRAHAM HAYWOOD
HENDERSON JACKSON MACON
MADISON MITCHELL SWAIN
TRANSYLVANIA YANCEY
$$
OHC053-079-087-105-111540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS
$$
TNC001-009-011-013-019-025-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-091-093-
105-107-123-139-155-163-171-173-179-111540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLOUNT BRADLEY
CAMPBELL CARTER CLAIBORNE
COCKE GRAINGER GREENE
HAMBLEN HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MONROE
POLK SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-111540-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT SMYTH
TAZEWELL WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-019-021-035-039-041-043-045-047-053-059-
067-079-081-087-099-105-109-111540-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
ROANE WAYNE WIRT
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.