SEL7
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 307
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   305 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KANSAS
          WESTERN INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
          EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GAGE
   OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 305...WW 306...
   
   DISCUSSION...EXTREME INSTABILITY IN PLACE AHEAD OF APPROACHING
   SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...BOTH NEAR FRONT AND DRY LINE
   OVER ERN TX PANHANDLE.  DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND STRENGTH OF CAP
   MAY SUPPORT DISCRETE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EARLY EVENING...DESPITE
   THE MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR.  SHOULD STORMS REMAIN DISCRETE...SLOW
   SSEWD MOVING  SUPERCELLS SHOULD EVOLVE WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF
   VERY LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF TORNADOES.  SHEAR WILL REMAIN STRONGER
   WITH POSSIBLY A GREATER TORNADO POTENTIAL INTO ERN KS.  OVERALL
   EVOLUTION INTO A LARGER MCS...POSSIBLY COMPOSED OF SEVERAL
   SMALL-SCALE BOW ECHOES SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MID EVENING.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   SEL7
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 307
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   305 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KANSAS
          WESTERN INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
          EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GAGE
   OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 305...WW 306...
   
   DISCUSSION...EXTREME INSTABILITY IN PLACE AHEAD OF APPROACHING
   SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT RAPID SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...BOTH NEAR FRONT AND DRY LINE
   OVER ERN TX PANHANDLE.  DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND STRENGTH OF CAP
   MAY SUPPORT DISCRETE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EARLY EVENING...DESPITE
   THE MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR.  SHOULD STORMS REMAIN DISCRETE...SLOW
   SSEWD MOVING  SUPERCELLS SHOULD EVOLVE WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF
   VERY LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF TORNADOES.  SHEAR WILL REMAIN STRONGER
   WITH POSSIBLY A GREATER TORNADO POTENTIAL INTO ERN KS.  OVERALL
   EVOLUTION INTO A LARGER MCS...POSSIBLY COMPOSED OF SEVERAL
   SMALL-SCALE BOW ECHOES SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MID EVENING.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   WOUS64 KWNS 151959
   WOU7
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 307
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   305 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009
   
   TORNADO WATCH 307 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   KSC001-003-007-015-017-019-031-033-035-041-045-049-059-061-073-
   077-079-087-095-099-111-113-115-125-127-133-139-151-155-173-177-
   191-197-205-207-160300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0307.090515T2005Z-090516T0300Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALLEN                ANDERSON            BARBER              
   BUTLER               CHASE               CHAUTAUQUA          
   COFFEY               COMANCHE            COWLEY              
   DICKINSON            DOUGLAS             ELK                 
   FRANKLIN             GEARY               GREENWOOD           
   HARPER               HARVEY              JEFFERSON           
   KINGMAN              LABETTE             LYON                
   MARION               MCPHERSON           MONTGOMERY          
   MORRIS               NEOSHO              OSAGE               
   PRATT                RENO                SEDGWICK            
   SHAWNEE              SUMNER              WABAUNSEE           
   WILSON               WOODSON             
   
   
   OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-093-103-113-117-
   129-151-153-160300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0307.090515T2005Z-090516T0300Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALFALFA              BECKHAM             BLAINE              
   CUSTER               DEWEY               ELLIS               
   GARFIELD             GRANT               HARPER              
   KAY                  KINGFISHER          MAJOR               
   NOBLE                OSAGE               PAWNEE              
   ROGER MILLS          WOODS               WOODWARD            
   
   
   TXC087-129-179-211-295-357-393-483-160300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0307.090515T2005Z-090516T0300Z/
   
   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   COLLINGSWORTH        DONLEY              GRAY                
   HEMPHILL             LIPSCOMB            OCHILTREE           
   ROBERTS              WHEELER             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ICT...AMA...OUN...TSA...TOP...DDC...
   
   
   

   SAW7 
   WW 307 TORNADO KS OK TX 152005Z - 160300Z
   AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   70SW GAG/GAGE OK/ - 50NNE CNU/CHANUTE KS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /51ENE AMA - 30W BUM/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
   
   LAT...LON 36580065 39349512 37319512 34560065
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU7.
   

Watch 307 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 307

VALID 160240Z - 160340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE CSM
TO 35 SW END TO 30 S END.

..GOSS..05/16/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...OUN...TSA...AMA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC011-073-160340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     KINGFISHER 	 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 307

VALID 160130Z - 160240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CDS
TO 30 NNW CSM TO 25 W END TO 25 NW PNC TO 45 E ICT TO 45 NNE CNU.

..GRAMS..05/16/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...OUN...TSA...AMA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC003-009-011-039-043-047-053-071-073-093-103-160240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 GARFIELD	     
GRANT		     KAY		 KINGFISHER	     
MAJOR		     NOBLE		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 307

VALID 160035Z - 160140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE BGD
TO 15 NNW AVK TO 20 WSW OJC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 840.

..GRAMS..05/16/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...OUN...TSA...AMA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-003-015-019-031-035-049-059-073-077-099-125-133-191-205-
207-160140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     ANDERSON		 BUTLER 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     COFFEY		 COWLEY 	     
ELK		     FRANKLIN		 GREENWOOD	     
HARPER		     LABETTE		 MONTGOMERY	     
NEOSHO		     SUMNER		 WILSON 	     
WOODSON 	     
$$


OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-113-117-129-
151-153-160140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
OSAGE		     PAWNEE		 ROGER MILLS	     
WOODS		     WOODWARD		 
$$


TXC087-129-179-483-160140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLLINGSWORTH	     DONLEY		 GRAY		     
WHEELER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 307

VALID 152300Z - 152340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE BGD
TO 20 SW P28 TO 5 NE TOP.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 839.

..GRAMS..05/15/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...OUN...TSA...AMA...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC001-003-007-015-017-019-031-035-045-049-059-073-077-079-087-
095-099-111-125-133-139-173-177-191-205-207-152340-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN		     ANDERSON		 BARBER 	     
BUTLER		     CHASE		 CHAUTAUQUA	     
COFFEY		     COWLEY		 DOUGLAS	     
ELK		     FRANKLIN		 GREENWOOD	     
HARPER		     HARVEY		 JEFFERSON	     
KINGMAN 	     LABETTE		 LYON		     
MONTGOMERY	     NEOSHO		 OSAGE		     
SEDGWICK	     SHAWNEE		 SUMNER 	     
WILSON		     WOODSON		 
$$


OKC003-009-011-039-043-045-047-053-071-073-093-103-113-117-129-
151-153-152340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA 	     BECKHAM		 BLAINE 	     
CUSTER		     DEWEY		 ELLIS		     
GARFIELD	     GRANT		 KAY		     
KINGFISHER	     MAJOR		 NOBLE		     
OSAGE		     PAWNEE		 ROGER MILLS	     
WOODS		     WOODWARD		 
$$


TXC087-129-179-211-483-152340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLLINGSWORTH	     DONLEY		 GRAY		     
HEMPHILL	     WHEELER		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.