Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SOUTH HILL VIRGINIA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHARLOTTE
NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...
DISCUSSION...STRONGLY FORCED PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE HAS PASSED THE
CREST OF THE APPALACHIANS AND WAS RECONSOLIDATING ACROSS THE VA/NC
FOOTHILLS ATTM. AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE BROKEN CONVECTIVE LINE WAS
ONLY WEAKLY UNSTABLE BASED ON OBJECTIVE DATA. HOWEVER...BINOVC AND
MOISTENING ON LOW LEVEL ESELY FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONTINUING
DESTABILIZATION AS THE INTENSE FORCING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND
100KT 500MB WIND MAX SPREAD EAST. IN ADDITION TO RAPID STORM MOTION
AND WIND DAMAGE THREAT...BRIEF TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE AS STRONG
SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES ALONG THE PIEDMONT FRONT...AND INTO
SERN VA NEXT FEW HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 307 TORNADO NC SC VA 111810Z - 120000Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNE AVC/SOUTH HILL VA/ - 75SSE CLT/CHARLOTTE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /17WSW RIC - 37NE CAE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37407612 34207895 34208194 37407922
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 307 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 307
VALID 112340Z - 120040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...RNK...AKQ...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-017-033-037-047-051-057-063-065-067-069-077-081-083-
085-093-101-105-123-125-127-131-135-145-151-153-155-157-163-165-
167-169-181-183-185-191-195-120040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BLADEN
CASWELL CHATHAM COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FORSYTH FRANKLIN
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROBESON ROCKINGHAM SAMPSON
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
VANCE WAKE WARREN
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC025-031-033-039-041-055-057-067-069-120040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON DILLON
FAIRFIELD FLORENCE KERSHAW
LANCASTER MARION MARLBORO
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-036-037-041-049-053-065-067-075-
081-083-087-089-095-111-117-127-135-143-145-147-149-175-181-183-
199-515-570-590-595-620-670-680-690-730-760-830-120040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HENRICO
HENRY JAMES CITY LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NEW KENT NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 307
VALID 112235Z - 112340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...RNK...AKQ...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-017-025-033-035-037-045-047-051-057-059-063-065-
067-069-071-077-081-083-085-093-097-101-105-109-119-123-125-127-
131-135-145-151-153-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-
191-195-112340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BLADEN CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE IREDELL
JOHNSTON LEE LINCOLN
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROBESON ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
STOKES UNION VANCE
WAKE WARREN WAYNE
WILSON
$$
SCC023-025-031-033-039-041-055-057-067-069-091-112340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
KERSHAW LANCASTER MARION
MARLBORO YORK
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-036-037-041-049-053-065-067-075-
081-083-087-089-095-111-117-127-135-143-145-147-149-175-181-183-
199-515-570-590-595-620-670-680-690-730-760-830-112340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HENRICO
HENRY JAMES CITY LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NEW KENT NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 307
VALID 112130Z - 112240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...RNK...AKQ...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-017-025-033-035-037-045-047-051-057-059-063-065-
067-069-071-077-081-083-085-093-097-101-105-109-119-123-125-127-
131-135-145-151-153-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-
191-195-112240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BLADEN CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE IREDELL
JOHNSTON LEE LINCOLN
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROBESON ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
STOKES UNION VANCE
WAKE WARREN WAYNE
WILSON
$$
SCC023-025-031-033-039-041-055-057-067-069-091-112240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
KERSHAW LANCASTER MARION
MARLBORO YORK
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-036-037-041-049-053-065-067-075-
081-083-087-089-095-111-117-127-135-143-145-147-149-175-181-183-
199-515-570-590-595-620-670-680-690-730-760-830-112240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HENRICO
HENRY JAMES CITY LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NEW KENT NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 307
VALID 112025Z - 112140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...RNK...AKQ...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-017-025-033-035-037-045-047-051-057-059-063-065-
067-069-071-077-081-083-085-093-097-101-105-109-119-123-125-127-
131-135-145-151-153-155-157-159-163-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-
191-195-112140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BLADEN CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HALIFAX
HARNETT HOKE IREDELL
JOHNSTON LEE LINCOLN
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROBESON ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
STOKES UNION VANCE
WAKE WARREN WAYNE
WILSON
$$
SCC023-025-031-033-039-041-055-057-067-069-091-112140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
KERSHAW LANCASTER MARION
MARLBORO YORK
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-036-037-041-049-053-065-067-075-
081-083-087-089-095-111-117-127-135-143-145-147-149-175-181-183-
199-515-570-590-595-620-670-680-690-730-760-830-112140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HENRICO
HENRY JAMES CITY LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NEW KENT NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 307
VALID 111935Z - 112040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/11/08
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...RNK...AKQ...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-017-025-033-037-047-051-057-059-063-065-067-069-077-
081-083-085-093-101-105-119-123-125-127-131-135-145-151-153-155-
157-159-163-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-191-195-112040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BLADEN
CABARRUS CASWELL CHATHAM
COLUMBUS CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT
HOKE JOHNSTON LEE
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROBESON ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
STOKES UNION VANCE
WAKE WARREN WAYNE
WILSON
$$
SCC023-025-031-033-039-041-055-057-067-069-091-112040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
KERSHAW LANCASTER MARION
MARLBORO YORK
$$
VAC007-009-011-019-025-029-031-036-037-041-049-053-065-067-075-
081-083-087-089-095-111-117-127-135-143-145-147-149-175-181-183-
515-570-590-595-620-670-680-690-730-760-830-112040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX
BEDFORD BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HENRICO
HENRY JAMES CITY LUNENBURG
MECKLENBURG NEW KENT NOTTOWAY
PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE SOUTHAMPTON SURRY
SUSSEX
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG MARTINSVILLE PETERSBURG
RICHMOND WILLIAMSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.