Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 309
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DAYTON OHIO. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 305...WW 306...WW
307...WW 308...
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS IL
INVOF W-E WARM FRONT...WHILE ADDITIONAL CELLS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
AS THEY SPREAD NWD ACROSS SRN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST OHIO. FAVORABLE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR EITHER SIDE OF THE WARM FRONT -- AND ENHANCED
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE BOUNDARY -- ALONG WITH FAVORABLY-UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS THAT THE THREATS FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL CONTINUE....ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...GOSS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 309 TORNADO IN OH 152340Z - 160600Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WSW LAF/LAFAYETTE IN/ - 40ENE DAY/DAYTON OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /22SW BVT - 26ESE ROD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 41228737 41068351 39188351 39348737
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 309 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 309
VALID 160550Z - 160640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE IND
TO 25 SSE MIE TO 40 ENE FWA.
..CARBIN..05/16/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC041-047-065-075-135-139-145-161-177-160640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN HENRY
JAY RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY UNION WAYNE
$$
OHC001-003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-047-057-061-065-071-
091-097-107-109-113-135-149-159-161-165-160640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN AUGLAIZE
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAYETTE GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HIGHLAND
LOGAN MADISON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 309
VALID 160435Z - 160540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BMG TO
15 NW FWA.
..GOSS..05/16/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-009-035-041-047-053-057-059-065-069-075-081-095-097-109-
135-139-145-161-177-179-160540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD DELAWARE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GRANT
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENRY
HUNTINGTON JAY JOHNSON
MADISON MARION MORGAN
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
UNION WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC001-003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-047-057-061-065-071-
091-097-107-109-113-135-149-159-161-165-160540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN AUGLAIZE
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAYETTE GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HIGHLAND
LOGAN MADISON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 309
VALID 160245Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE DNV
TO 10 NNE LAF TO 40 SSE SBN.
..GOSS..05/16/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-009-011-015-017-023-035-041-047-049-053-057-059-063-065-
067-069-075-081-095-097-103-107-109-121-133-135-139-145-157-159-
161-165-169-177-179-160340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BLACKFORD BOONE
CARROLL CASS CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN
FULTON GRANT HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JAY
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORGAN
PARKE PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY TIPPECANOE
TIPTON UNION VERMILLION
WABASH WAYNE WELLS
$$
OHC001-003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-047-057-061-065-071-
091-097-107-109-113-135-149-159-161-165-160340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN AUGLAIZE
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAYETTE GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HIGHLAND
LOGAN MADISON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 309
VALID 160140Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW LAF TO
20 SSE VPZ.
..GOSS..05/16/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-007-009-011-015-017-023-035-041-045-047-049-053-057-059-
063-065-067-069-075-081-095-097-103-107-109-121-131-133-135-139-
145-157-159-161-165-169-171-177-179-181-160240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BLACKFORD
BOONE CARROLL CASS
CLINTON DELAWARE FAYETTE
FOUNTAIN FRANKLIN FULTON
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JAY JOHNSON
MADISON MARION MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PARKE
PULASKI PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY TIPPECANOE
TIPTON UNION VERMILLION
WABASH WARREN WAYNE
WELLS WHITE
$$
OHC001-003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-047-057-061-065-071-
091-097-107-109-113-135-149-159-161-165-160240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN AUGLAIZE
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAYETTE GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HIGHLAND
LOGAN MADISON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 309
VALID 160045Z - 160140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/16/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-007-009-011-015-017-023-035-041-045-047-049-053-057-059-
063-065-067-069-073-075-081-095-097-103-107-109-111-121-131-133-
135-139-145-157-159-161-165-169-171-177-179-181-160140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BLACKFORD
BOONE CARROLL CASS
CLINTON DELAWARE FAYETTE
FOUNTAIN FRANKLIN FULTON
GRANT HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JASPER JAY
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NEWTON PARKE PULASKI
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION WABASH
WARREN WAYNE WELLS
WHITE
$$
OHC001-003-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-047-057-061-065-071-
091-097-107-109-113-135-149-159-161-165-160140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN AUGLAIZE
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAYETTE GREENE
HAMILTON HARDIN HIGHLAND
LOGAN MADISON MERCER
MIAMI MONTGOMERY PREBLE
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.