Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 311
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
A LARGE PART OF NORTHERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF TEMPLE TEXAS
TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG AND
LITTLE REMAINING INHIBITION ARE IN PLACE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSS
NRN TX/SRN OK. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND THE DRY LINE EXTENDING SWD
IN NRN TX. MDT/STG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
INCLUDING THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 311
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
A LARGE PART OF NORTHERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF TEMPLE TEXAS
TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG AND
LITTLE REMAINING INHIBITION ARE IN PLACE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSS
NRN TX/SRN OK. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND THE DRY LINE EXTENDING SWD
IN NRN TX. MDT/STG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
INCLUDING THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 311 TORNADO OK TX 131905Z - 140200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50W TPL/TEMPLE TX/ - 30NNW MKO/MUSKOGEE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /59NNW AUS - 13SE TUL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 31139969 36069709 36069405 31139683
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 311 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 311
VALID 140135Z - 140200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 311 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 140200Z.
..HURLBUT..05/14/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 311
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-027-029-037-049-061-063-067-069-077-
079-081-085-087-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-143-145-140200-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL CREEK
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER
$$
TXC027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-095-097-099-113-119-121-133-
139-143-145-147-181-193-217-221-223-231-237-251-253-257-267-277-
281-293-307-309-319-327-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-399-411-417-
425-429-439-441-447-497-503-140200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
JONES KAUFMAN KIMBLE
LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS MONTAGUE
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 311
VALID 140025Z - 140140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E FSI TO
25 NNE CQB.
..SCHNEIDER..05/14/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 311
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-027-029-037-049-061-063-067-069-077-
079-081-085-087-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-143-145-140140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL CREEK
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER
$$
TXC027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-095-097-099-113-119-121-133-
139-143-145-147-181-193-217-221-223-231-237-251-253-257-267-277-
281-293-307-309-319-327-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-399-411-417-
425-429-439-441-447-497-503-140140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
JONES KAUFMAN KIMBLE
LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS MONTAGUE
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 311
VALID 132235Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/13/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 311
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-027-029-037-049-061-063-067-069-077-
079-081-085-087-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-143-145-132340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL CREEK
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER
$$
TXC027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-
143-145-147-181-193-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-293-307-
309-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-411-425-429-439-497-503-
132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FANNIN
GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SAN SABA SOMERVELL STEPHENS
TARRANT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 311
VALID 132135Z - 132240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SCHNEIDER..05/13/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 311
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-027-029-037-049-061-063-067-069-077-
079-081-085-087-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-143-145-132240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL CREEK
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER
$$
TXC027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-
143-145-147-181-193-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-293-307-
309-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-411-425-429-439-497-503-
132240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FANNIN
GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SAN SABA SOMERVELL STEPHENS
TARRANT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 311
VALID 132040Z - 132140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/13/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 311
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC001-005-013-019-021-023-027-029-037-049-061-063-067-069-077-
079-081-085-087-091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-143-145-132140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL CREEK
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
SEQUOYAH STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER
$$
TXC027-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-
143-145-147-181-193-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-293-307-
309-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-411-425-429-439-497-503-
132140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FANNIN
GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR LAMPASAS LIMESTONE
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SAN SABA SOMERVELL STEPHENS
TARRANT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.