Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 312
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 520 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
BROWNWOOD TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARIES IN A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. WITH MLCAPES
TO 3000 J/KG LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGEST UPDRAFTS. STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND
PROPAGATE E AND SE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28015.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 312 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 262220Z - 270400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ENE DUA/DURANT OK/ - 45ESE BWD/BROWNWOOD TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /51ESE ADM - 50W ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.
LAT...LON 34029476 31549688 31549959 34029755
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 312 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 312
VALID 270345Z - 270440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE BWD
TO 15 NE BWD TO 40 WSW MWL.
WW MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 877.
..EDWARDS..05/27/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-270440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-213-217-
221-223-231-237-251-257-277-309-333-337-349-363-367-379-397-425-
429-439-467-497-503-270440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 312
VALID 270245Z - 270340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW BWD TO
25 NW BWD.
..EDWARDS..05/27/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-270340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC035-049-059-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-193-
213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-309-333-337-349-363-367-379-
397-425-429-439-467-497-503-270340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN GRAYSON HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOPKINS HUNT JACK
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
MCLENNAN MILLS MONTAGUE
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL
STEPHENS TARRANT VAN ZANDT
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 312
VALID 270125Z - 270240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 875.
..EDWARDS..05/27/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-270240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC035-049-059-083-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-
193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-309-333-337-349-363-367-
379-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-270240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 312
VALID 270050Z - 270140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..05/27/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-270140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC035-049-059-083-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-
193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-309-333-337-349-363-367-
379-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-270140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 312
VALID 262340Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..05/26/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-085-095-270040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC035-049-059-083-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-
193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-309-333-337-349-363-367-
379-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-270040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE BROWN CALLAHAN
COLEMAN COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.