Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EXTREME SOUTHERN OHIO
EASTERN TENNESSEE
WESTERN VIRGINIA
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST OF
CHATTANOOGA TENNESSEE TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON
WEST VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...DESTABILIZING AIR MASS COMBINED WITH INCREASING LARGE
SCALE LIFT... ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
WESTERN LOWER OH VALLEY...WILL RESULT IN THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE
IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS
WITH HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...IMY
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 313 SEVERE TSTM KY NC OH TN VA WV 281820Z - 290200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20E CHA/CHATTANOOGA TN/ - 15NNE CRW/CHARLESTON WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /15ENE GQO - 28ESE HNN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 35028634 38548305 38547991 35028333
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 313 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 313
VALID 290140Z - 290200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 313 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 290200Z.
..HURLBUT..05/29/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...OHX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-290200-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-039-043-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-
161-173-175-199-290200-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL CHEROKEE CLAY
GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
YANCEY
$$
OHC053-087-290200-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-031-035-049-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-290200-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
VAC021-027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-290200-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-015-019-025-035-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-067-
075-079-081-083-087-089-099-101-109-290200-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
JACKSON KANAWHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MASON
MERCER MINGO NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH ROANE SUMMERS
WAYNE WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 313
VALID 290045Z - 290140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/29/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...OHX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-290140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-039-043-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-
161-173-175-199-290140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL CHEROKEE CLAY
GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
YANCEY
$$
OHC053-087-290140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-031-035-049-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-290140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
VAC021-027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-290140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-015-019-025-035-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-067-
075-079-081-083-087-089-099-101-109-290140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
JACKSON KANAWHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MASON
MERCER MINGO NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH ROANE SUMMERS
WAYNE WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 313
VALID 282320Z - 290040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...OHX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-290040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-039-043-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-
161-173-175-199-290040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL CHEROKEE CLAY
GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
YANCEY
$$
OHC053-087-290040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-031-035-049-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-290040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
VAC021-027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-290040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-015-019-025-035-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-067-
075-079-081-083-087-089-099-101-109-290040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
JACKSON KANAWHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MASON
MERCER MINGO NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH ROANE SUMMERS
WAYNE WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 313
VALID 282230Z - 282340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...OHX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-282340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-039-043-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-
161-173-175-199-282340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL CHEROKEE CLAY
GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
YANCEY
$$
OHC053-087-282340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-031-035-049-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-282340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
VAC021-027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-282340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-015-019-025-035-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-067-
075-079-081-083-087-089-099-101-109-282340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
JACKSON KANAWHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MASON
MERCER MINGO NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH ROANE SUMMERS
WAYNE WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 313
VALID 282140Z - 282240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 885
..HURLBUT..05/28/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...GSP...MRX...OHX...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-282240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
NCC011-021-023-027-039-043-075-087-089-099-111-113-115-121-149-
161-173-175-199-282240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AVERY BUNCOMBE BURKE
CALDWELL CHEROKEE CLAY
GRAHAM HAYWOOD HENDERSON
JACKSON MCDOWELL MACON
MADISON MITCHELL POLK
RUTHERFORD SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
YANCEY
$$
OHC053-087-282240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLIA LAWRENCE
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-019-025-029-031-035-049-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-
143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-282240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CARTER
CLAIBORNE COCKE COFFEE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
OVERTON PICKETT POLK
PUTNAM RHEA ROANE
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
VAC021-027-051-105-167-169-173-185-191-195-520-720-282240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
SMYTH TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
WVC005-007-011-015-019-025-035-039-043-045-047-053-055-059-067-
075-079-081-083-087-089-099-101-109-282240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CLAY FAYETTE GREENBRIER
JACKSON KANAWHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCDOWELL MASON
MERCER MINGO NICHOLAS
POCAHONTAS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH ROANE SUMMERS
WAYNE WEBSTER WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.