Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 318
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SMALL PART OF EASTERN IOWA
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
NORTHERN INDIANA
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF MOLINE ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT
WAYNE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STORMS WILL INCREASE ALONG AND JUST S OF E/W BOUNDARY
ACROSS NRN IN AND IL. WITH AN UNSTABLE AND VIRTUALLY UNCAPPED WARM
SECTOR ALONG WITH 30-40KT OF SHEAR...STORMS WILL INCREASE TO SEVERE
LEVELS AS THEY SPREAD DEVELOP E/SEWD THRU THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 318 SEVERE TSTM IA IL IN LM 011940Z - 020300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SSW MLI/MOLINE IL/ - 20ESE FWA/FORT WAYNE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /49SE IOW - 18ESE FWA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 41999072 41818483 39938483 40119072
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 318 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 318
VALID 020200Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BRL TO
40 NW LAF TO 35 ENE MIE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 915
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-039-053-057-067-071-075-095-105-107-109-113-125-143-147-
169-179-183-187-203-020340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN DE WITT FORD
FULTON HANCOCK HENDERSON
IROQUOIS KNOX LIVINGSTON
LOGAN MCDONOUGH MCLEAN
MASON PEORIA PIATT
SCHUYLER TAZEWELL VERMILION
WARREN WOODFORD
$$
INC007-011-015-023-035-045-057-065-067-095-107-135-157-159-171-
020340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CLINTON DELAWARE FOUNTAIN
HAMILTON HENRY HOWARD
MADISON MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH
TIPPECANOE TIPTON WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 318
VALID 020115Z - 020240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW MLI TO
40 SW VPZ TO 20 ESE FWA.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-019-039-053-057-067-071-073-075-095-105-107-109-113-123-
125-131-143-147-155-161-169-175-179-183-187-203-020240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CHAMPAIGN DE WITT
FORD FULTON HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY IROQUOIS
KNOX LIVINGSTON LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL
MASON MERCER PEORIA
PIATT PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND
SCHUYLER STARK TAZEWELL
VERMILION WARREN WOODFORD
$$
INC001-007-009-011-015-017-023-035-045-053-057-065-067-069-073-
075-095-103-107-111-135-157-159-169-171-179-181-020240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BLACKFORD
BOONE CARROLL CASS
CLINTON DELAWARE FOUNTAIN
GRANT HAMILTON HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JASPER
JAY MADISON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEWTON RANDOLPH
TIPPECANOE TIPTON WABASH
WARREN WELLS WHITE
$$
IAC163-020240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SCOTT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 318
VALID 020000Z - 020140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW MLI
TO 20 W VPZ TO 35 NW FWA TO 30 NE FWA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 912
..SPC..06/01/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...ILX...LOT...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC011-019-039-053-057-063-067-071-073-075-091-095-099-105-107-
109-113-123-125-131-143-147-155-161-169-175-179-183-187-197-203-
020140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUREAU CHAMPAIGN DE WITT
FORD FULTON GRUNDY
HANCOCK HENDERSON HENRY
IROQUOIS KANKAKEE KNOX
LA SALLE LIVINGSTON LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL
MASON MERCER PEORIA
PIATT PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND
SCHUYLER STARK TAZEWELL
VERMILION WARREN WILL
WOODFORD
$$
INC001-003-007-009-011-015-017-023-035-045-049-053-057-065-067-
069-073-075-089-095-103-107-111-127-131-135-157-159-169-171-179-
181-183-020140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BENTON
BLACKFORD BOONE CARROLL
CASS CLINTON DELAWARE
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
HAMILTON HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JASPER JAY
LAKE MADISON MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEWTON PORTER
PULASKI RANDOLPH TIPPECANOE
TIPTON WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
IAC163-020140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SCOTT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.