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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
PARTS OF NORTHERN KANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSOURI
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF KEARNEY NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BURLINGTON IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 318...
DISCUSSION...WARM SECTOR TO S OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS BECOME VERY
WARM AND UNSTABLE. WITH LITTLE REMAINING CINH...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY VICINITY AND LATER N OF
BOUNDARY. WITH MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DOWNBURST DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 319 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 012030Z - 020400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65SSW EAR/KEARNEY NE/ - 40NNE BRL/BURLINGTON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /50NE HLC - 37ESE IOW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 40659947 42119083 40529083 39049947
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 319 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 319
VALID 020255Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE HLC
TO 20 E BIE TO 25 WNW FNB TO 25 SSW FNB.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...TOP...EAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-089-117-123-131-141-147-157-163-183-201-020340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL NEMAHA OSBORNE
PHILLIPS REPUBLIC ROOKS
SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC067-095-133-020340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON PAWNEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 319
VALID 020205Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE HLC
TO 25 W BIE TO 15 ENE BRL.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...TOP...EAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC057-087-101-111-177-020340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY JEFFERSON
LEE VAN BUREN
$$
KSC013-029-043-089-117-123-131-141-147-157-163-183-201-020340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLOUD DONIPHAN
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
NEMAHA OSBORNE PHILLIPS
REPUBLIC ROOKS SMITH
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-020340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-020340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 319
VALID 020120Z - 020240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW EAR
TO 20 SE HSI TO 35 ENE BIE TO 15 SSE OXV TO 20 WNW MLI.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...TOP...EAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-057-087-101-111-115-117-135-139-145-159-173-
177-179-183-185-020240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR DES MOINES HENRY
JEFFERSON LEE LOUISA
LUCAS MONROE MUSCATINE
PAGE RINGGOLD TAYLOR
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
KSC013-029-043-089-117-123-131-141-147-157-163-183-201-020240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLOUD DONIPHAN
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
NEMAHA OSBORNE PHILLIPS
REPUBLIC ROOKS SMITH
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-020240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC061-067-083-095-097-127-129-133-147-169-181-020240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GAGE HARLAN
JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA
NUCKOLLS PAWNEE RICHARDSON
THAYER WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 319
VALID 020000Z - 020140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE DSM TO
25 NW MLI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 912
..SPC..06/01/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...OAX...TOP...EAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-029-039-051-053-057-071-087-101-107-111-115-117-
121-123-125-129-135-137-139-145-155-159-173-175-177-179-181-183-
185-020140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CASS CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR DES MOINES FREMONT
HENRY JEFFERSON KEOKUK
LEE LOUISA LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MILLS MONROE MONTGOMERY
MUSCATINE PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE
RINGGOLD TAYLOR UNION
VAN BUREN WAPELLO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KSC013-029-043-089-117-123-131-141-147-157-163-183-201-020140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLOUD DONIPHAN
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
NEMAHA OSBORNE PHILLIPS
REPUBLIC ROOKS SMITH
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC001-003-005-045-061-063-075-079-081-087-129-147-171-197-199-
211-227-020140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW ATCHISON
CLARK DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT MERCER NODAWAY
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC001-023-025-035-055-059-061-067-083-095-097-109-127-129-131-
133-143-147-151-153-155-159-169-181-185-020140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUTLER CASS
CLAY DOUGLAS FILLMORE
FRANKLIN GAGE HARLAN
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD THAYER WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.