Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 320
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
HOBBS NEW MEXICO TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 319...
DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW SRN NM MOVING EWD COUPLED WITH LOW LEVEL ELYS
ACROSS WATCH AREA PROVIDING FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR SUPERCELLS.
WITH AIR MASS DESTABILIZING WITH HEATING AND MLCAPES CLIMBING TO
AOA 1500 J/KG...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EWD VICINITY AND TO N OF
FRONTAL ZONE TO THE S OF MAF. SUPERCELLS INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES ARE LIKELY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 320 TORNADO NM TX 141750Z - 150000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30WNW HOB/HOBBS NM/ - 40NNE SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /55ESE ROW - 33NNE SJT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 33700369 32770023 31040023 31970369
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 320 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 320
VALID 142330Z - 150000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W SJT TO
55 SE LBB.
WW 320 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150000Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 928
..SCHNEIDER..05/14/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-151-235-263-335-353-415-431-433-451-150000-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE FISHER IRION
KENT MITCHELL NOLAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 320
VALID 142240Z - 142340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MAF
TO 15 NE MAF TO 40 ESE HOB TO 45 WSW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 928 WICH WILL
BE ISSUED SHORTLY
..SCHNEIDER..05/14/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-081-115-151-165-169-173-227-235-263-305-317-329-335-
353-383-415-431-433-445-451-461-142340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN COKE
DAWSON FISHER GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HOWARD
IRION KENT LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN REAGAN SCURRY
STERLING STONEWALL TERRY
TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 320
VALID 142035Z - 142140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW MAF TO
35 ESE HOB TO 25 NNE HOB TO 60 NNE HOB.
..SCHNEIDER..05/14/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 320
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-079-081-115-135-151-165-169-173-227-235-305-317-329-
335-353-383-415-431-445-451-461-501-142140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN COCHRAN
COKE DAWSON ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HOWARD IRION
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING TERRY
TOM GREEN UPTON YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
