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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA
FAR NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY
EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1225 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATTOON
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES
LOCATED IN FAR SERN IA AND SWRN MO. AIR MASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AND MLCAPES WILL APPROACH 3000 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS
INSTABILITY ALONG WITH 20-30 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL FAVOR SEVERE
MULTICELL SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...IMY
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 321 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY MO 021725Z - 030100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60SSW UIN/QUINCY IL/ - 55SE MTO/MATTOON IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /34NE COU - 38SSW TTH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 40229162 39998755 37818755 38069162
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 321 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 321
VALID 030000Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N EVV TO
25 SW STL TO 30 ENE JEF TO 45 SSW UIN TO 35 W SPI TO 25 NW SPI.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 321
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-045-049-051-
061-079-083-101-107-115-117-119-121-125-129-135-137-139-147-149-
159-167-171-173-183-030140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CALHOUN CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS
EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
GREENE JASPER JERSEY
LAWRENCE LOGAN MACON
MACOUPIN MADISON MARION
MASON MENARD MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT
PIKE RICHLAND SANGAMON
SCOTT SHELBY VERMILION
$$
MOC113-139-163-183-189-219-510-030140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINCOLN MONTGOMERY PIKE
ST. CHARLES ST. LOUIS WARREN
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 321
VALID 022255Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 321
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-
045-047-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-079-081-083-087-101-107-
115-117-119-121-125-129-133-135-137-139-145-147-149-151-157-159-
163-165-167-169-171-173-181-183-185-189-191-193-199-022340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS
EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GREENE HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JERSEY JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASON
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PERRY
PIATT PIKE POPE
RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SALINE SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
VERMILION WABASH WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-129-163-022340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON POSEY VANDERBURGH
$$
KYC101-225-022340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
MOC007-017-019-027-031-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-157-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-
510-022340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOLLINGER BOONE
CALLAWAY CAPE GIRARDEAU COLE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN GASCONADE
IRON JEFFERSON KNOX
LEWIS LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY OSAGE PERRY
PIKE RALLS REYNOLDS
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
WASHINGTON
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 321
VALID 022155Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 321
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-
045-047-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-079-081-083-087-101-107-
115-117-119-121-125-129-133-135-137-139-145-147-149-151-157-159-
163-165-167-169-171-173-181-183-185-189-191-193-199-022240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS
EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GREENE HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JERSEY JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASON
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PERRY
PIATT PIKE POPE
RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SALINE SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
VERMILION WABASH WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-129-163-022240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON POSEY VANDERBURGH
$$
KYC101-225-022240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
MOC007-017-019-027-031-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-157-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-
510-022240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOLLINGER BOONE
CALLAWAY CAPE GIRARDEAU COLE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN GASCONADE
IRON JEFFERSON KNOX
LEWIS LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY OSAGE PERRY
PIKE RALLS REYNOLDS
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
WASHINGTON
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 321
VALID 021925Z - 022040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/02/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 321
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-039-041-
045-047-049-051-055-059-061-065-069-077-079-081-083-087-101-107-
115-117-119-121-125-129-133-135-137-139-145-147-149-151-157-159-
163-165-167-169-171-173-181-183-185-189-191-193-199-022040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DE WITT DOUGLAS
EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GREENE HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JERSEY JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MACON MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASON
MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PERRY
PIATT PIKE POPE
RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SALINE SANGAMON SCHUYLER
SCOTT SHELBY UNION
VERMILION WABASH WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-129-163-022040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON POSEY VANDERBURGH
$$
KYC101-225-022040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
MOC007-017-019-027-031-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-
127-135-137-139-151-157-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-
510-022040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOLLINGER BOONE
CALLAWAY CAPE GIRARDEAU COLE
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN GASCONADE
IRON JEFFERSON KNOX
LEWIS LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY OSAGE PERRY
PIKE RALLS REYNOLDS
ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
WASHINGTON
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.