Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CDT WED MAY 14 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF DALLAS
TEXAS TO 35 MILES EAST OF NEW BRAUNFELS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL LARGE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE TRACKING
EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL TX...AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATCH AREA
THIS EVENING. STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR AND AMPLE
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A CONTINUED THREAT OF VERY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. DESPITE RATHER WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS...DEEP
EASTERLY FLOW AND LOW LCL VALUES WILL ALSO MAINTAIN A RISK FOR A FEW
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 323 TORNADO TX 150050Z - 150700Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10NE DAL/DALLAS TX/ - 35E BAZ/NEW BRAUNFELS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /16ENE DFW - 37SSE AUS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 32959551 29709627 29709861 32959794
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 323 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 323
VALID 150645Z - 150740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW AUS
TO 50 NNW UTS.
GIVEN THE 07Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION...THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
WW 323 WILL LIKELY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.
SEE WFO WCN PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS.
..GUYER..05/15/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-055-091-149-209-287-453-491-150740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP CALDWELL COMAL
FAYETTE HAYS LEE
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 323
VALID 150605Z - 150740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W TPL TO
15 SE CRS TO 50 E DAL.
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF WW 323 MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR
AN HOUR OR TWO...REFER TO LOCAL WFO WCN PRODUCTS FOR DETAILS.
..GUYER..05/15/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-027-041-051-055-091-145-149-161-185-209-225-287-289-293-
309-313-331-395-453-455-471-477-491-150740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP BELL BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL COMAL
FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE
GRIMES HAYS HOUSTON
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
ROBERTSON TRAVIS TRINITY
WALKER WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 323
VALID 150350Z - 150440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..05/15/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-027-035-041-051-055-091-113-139-145-149-161-185-209-217-
221-251-257-287-289-293-309-313-331-349-367-395-397-425-439-453-
477-491-150440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP BELL BOSQUE
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
COMAL DALLAS ELLIS
FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE
GRIMES HAYS HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
NAVARRO PARKER ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
TRAVIS WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 323
VALID 150235Z - 150340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..05/15/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-027-035-041-051-055-091-113-139-145-149-161-185-209-217-
221-251-257-287-289-293-309-313-331-349-367-395-397-425-439-453-
477-491-150340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP BELL BOSQUE
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
COMAL DALLAS ELLIS
FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE
GRIMES HAYS HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
NAVARRO PARKER ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
TRAVIS WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 323
VALID 150140Z - 150240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..05/15/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC021-027-035-041-051-055-091-113-139-145-149-161-185-209-217-
221-251-257-287-289-293-309-313-331-349-367-395-397-425-439-453-
477-491-150240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BASTROP BELL BOSQUE
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
COMAL DALLAS ELLIS
FALLS FAYETTE FREESTONE
GRIMES HAYS HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
NAVARRO PARKER ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL SOMERVELL TARRANT
TRAVIS WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
