Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 326
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST
OF FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 325...
DISCUSSION...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE
FOCUSED IN A SMALL AREA OF WRN/CENTRAL KY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SOMEWHAT STRONGER DEEP LAYER FLOW/SHEAR IS CONFINED TO AREAS CLOSER
TO THE OH RIVER AND THE SWD MOVING COLD FRONT...WHILE AN APPROACHING
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM FROM THE W AND A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS
SE/CENTRAL KY LIMIT THE WRN AND ERN EXTENTS OF THE SEVERE
THREAT...RESPECTIVELY. THE COMBINATION OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF
30-35 KT AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS...AND POTENTIALLY SUPERCELLS CLOSER TO THE COLD
FRONT...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TOWARD SUNSET AS A RESULT OF
CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 326 SEVERE TSTM KY 032000Z - 040100Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
85ENE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 45NNW HOP/FORT CAMPBELL KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /48WNW LOZ - 40S PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 36778498 36618779 37918779 38088498
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 326 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 326
VALID 040055Z - 040140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S BWG TO
30 NNE BWG TO 20 SSW LEX.
..BROYLES..06/04/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-021-045-053-057-087-099-123-137-155-169-171-207-
217-040140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOYLE CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND GREEN HART
LARUE LINCOLN MARION
METCALFE MONROE RUSSELL
TAYLOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 326
VALID 032235Z - 032340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CKV TO
30 ESE OWB TO 15 SW SDF.
..BROYLES..06/03/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-021-027-029-045-053-057-061-085-087-093-099-
123-137-155-167-169-171-179-207-213-215-217-227-229-032340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
LARUE LINCOLN MARION
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON RUSSELL SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR WARREN
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 326
VALID 032135Z - 032240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/03/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-021-027-029-031-033-045-047-053-057-061-085-
087-093-099-107-123-137-141-143-149-155-163-167-169-171-177-179-
183-207-213-215-217-219-221-227-229-233-032240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
HOPKINS LARUE LINCOLN
LOGAN LYON MCLEAN
MARION MEADE MERCER
METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG
NELSON OHIO RUSSELL
SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR
TODD TRIGG WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 326
VALID 032050Z - 032140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW OWB
TO 15 SE OWB TO 40 ENE OWB.
..SMITH..06/03/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-021-027-029-031-033-045-047-053-057-061-085-
087-093-099-107-123-137-141-143-149-155-163-167-169-171-177-179-
183-207-213-215-217-219-221-227-229-233-032140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
HOPKINS LARUE LINCOLN
LOGAN LYON MCLEAN
MARION MEADE MERCER
METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG
NELSON OHIO RUSSELL
SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR
TODD TRIGG WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.