Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 333
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WEST TEXAS INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 440 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS TO 70 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GARDEN
CITY KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 332...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING OVER WEST TX AND
SOUTHWEST KS IN REGION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND SPREAD
EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. DAMAGING WINDS
ARE LIKELY THE MAIN THREAT WITH HIGH-BASED STORMS.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS PRESENT FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS
AND A RISK OF LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28020.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 333 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 052140Z - 060500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SSW LBB/LUBBOCK TX/ - 70NNE GCK/GARDEN CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /48SSW LBB - 24S HLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 32930338 38860151 38869891 32930098
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 333 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 333
VALID 060325Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N CDS TO
40 NE CVS TO 5 E DHT TO 20 S GAG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 955
..JEWELL..06/06/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-065-087-117-129-179-205-211-233-341-359-375-381-393-483-
060440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DEAF SMITH DONLEY GRAY
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
MOORE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 333
VALID 060250Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW CDS
TO 35 SSE CVS TO 35 SSW EHA TO 15 NE GAG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 955
..JEWELL..06/06/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-087-111-117-129-153-179-189-191-195-205-
211-233-279-295-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
060340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
FLOYD GRAY HALE
HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LAMB
LIPSCOMB MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 333
VALID 060135Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W EHA TO
50 WNW AVK.
..JEWELL..06/06/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-025-139-060240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-087-107-111-117-129-153-169-179-189-
191-195-205-211-219-233-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-
381-393-421-437-445-483-501-060240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DALLAM
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GARZA GRAY HALE
HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 333
VALID 060025Z - 060140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/06/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-051-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-145-
165-171-175-187-189-195-060140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STANTON STEVENS TREGO
$$
OKC007-025-139-060140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-087-107-111-117-129-153-169-179-189-
191-195-205-211-219-233-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-
381-393-421-437-445-483-501-060140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DALLAM
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GARZA GRAY HALE
HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 333
VALID 052230Z - 052340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/05/09
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-051-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-129-135-145-
165-171-175-187-189-195-052340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STANTON STEVENS TREGO
$$
OKC007-025-139-052340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-087-107-111-117-129-153-169-179-189-
191-195-205-211-219-233-279-295-303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-
381-393-421-437-445-483-501-052340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DALLAM
DEAF SMITH DONLEY FLOYD
GARZA GRAY HALE
HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.