Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 342
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST IOWA
NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BEATRICE NEBRASKA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAINT JOSEPH MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 341...
DISCUSSION...APPARENTLY SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE SE NEB/NE KS BORDER IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF A
SURFACE WAVE ON THE FRONT...AND IN AN AREA OF STRONG INSTABILITY.
DESPITE THE WARMING NOTED IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER IN THE 19Z TOP AND
20Z VORTEX2 SPECIAL SOUNDING IN SE NEB...COOLING IS LIKELY OCCURRING
FROM THE W WITH THE CLOUD BAND AND AN ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTING NEWD OVER CENTRAL KS. GIVEN THIS EARLY
DEVELOPMENT...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL GIVEN STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG...AND STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S AND
BACKING/STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THROUGH LATE
EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 342 TORNADO IA KS MO NE 072050Z - 080400Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SSW BIE/BEATRICE NE/ - 70NE STJ/SAINT JOSEPH MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /43WSW PWE - 59SSW DSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 41119700 41799398 39189398 38529700
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 342 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 342
VALID 080335Z - 080440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW LNK
TO 35 E LWD.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-080440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-080440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-151-080440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 342
VALID 080240Z - 080340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW LNK
TO 30 E LWD.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-080340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-080340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-151-080340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 342
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW LNK
TO 25 E LWD.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-080240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-151-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 342
VALID 080030Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-029-039-049-053-071-077-121-129-137-145-155-159-
165-173-175-080140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FREMONT GUTHRIE
MADISON MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD
SHELBY TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-080140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC025-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-080140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 342
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/07/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-029-039-049-053-071-077-121-129-137-145-155-159-
165-173-175-080040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FREMONT GUTHRIE
MADISON MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD
SHELBY TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-080040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-080040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC025-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-080040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 342
VALID 072245Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/07/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-029-039-049-053-071-077-121-129-137-145-155-159-
165-173-175-072340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FREMONT GUTHRIE
MADISON MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD
SHELBY TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-072340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-072340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC025-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 342
VALID 072245Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/07/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 342
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-029-039-049-053-071-077-121-129-137-145-155-159-
165-173-175-072340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
CASS CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FREMONT GUTHRIE
MADISON MILLS MONTGOMERY
PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD
SHELBY TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-111-117-127-131-139-149-
161-177-197-201-209-072340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-081-087-095-147-165-177-
227-072340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
NEC025-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.