Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 345
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA
EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS
NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 545 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DES MOINES IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 341...WW 342...WW
343...WW 344...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN MO AND SOUTH CENTRAL IA...AND WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. STRONG INSTABILITY
AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF VERY
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 345 TORNADO IA KS MO 072245Z - 080500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNE DSM/DES MOINES IA/ - 25S SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46S MCW - 45E BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 42339205 38349244 38349466 42339440
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 345 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 345
VALID 080335Z - 080440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W LWD TO
30 E LWD TO 20 NNE OXV TO 25 SSW CID.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-051-135-179-080440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS MONROE
WAPELLO
$$
KSC107-121-080440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-053-079-083-089-101-107-115-117-121-129-
159-171-175-195-197-211-080440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON COOPER
GRUNDY HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON MERCER
PETTIS PUTNAM RANDOLPH
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 345
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-015-051-099-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-169-171-179-181-
185-080240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE BOONE DAVIS
JASPER LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK STORY
TAMA WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
KSC107-121-080240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-053-079-083-089-101-107-115-117-121-129-
159-171-175-195-197-211-080240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON COOPER
GRUNDY HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON MERCER
PETTIS PUTNAM RANDOLPH
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 345
VALID 080030Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-015-051-099-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-169-171-179-181-
185-080140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE BOONE DAVIS
JASPER LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK STORY
TAMA WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
KSC107-121-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-053-079-083-089-101-107-115-117-121-129-
159-171-175-195-197-211-080140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON COOPER
GRUNDY HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON MERCER
PETTIS PUTNAM RANDOLPH
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 345
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/07/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 345
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-015-051-099-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-169-171-179-181-
185-080040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE BOONE DAVIS
JASPER LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK STORY
TAMA WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
KSC107-121-080040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-053-079-083-089-101-107-115-117-121-129-
159-171-175-195-197-211-080040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON COOPER
GRUNDY HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON MERCER
PETTIS PUTNAM RANDOLPH
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.