Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1055 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BEATRICE NEBRASKA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF KNOXVILLE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 342...WW 343...WW
345...WW 346...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED
ACROSS NORTHEAST KS...SOUTHEAST NEB...AND NORTHWEST MO. THESE
STORMS WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTHWEST IA DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. AMPLE INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF TORNADOES...ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 347 TORNADO IA KS MO NE 080355Z - 081000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NW BIE/BEATRICE NE/ - 40S OXV/KNOXVILLE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /41WNW PWE - 42NW IRK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 41439701 41659312 39779312 39549701
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 347 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 347
VALID 080835Z - 080940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S OXV TO
40 NNW LWD TO 40 W DSM.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC039-049-099-117-121-125-153-181-185-080940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE DALLAS JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MARION
POLK WARREN WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 347
VALID 080740Z - 080840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW STJ TO
20 NE STJ TO 35 ESE SDA TO 30 SSE DNS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 984.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-029-039-049-053-099-117-121-125-153-159-173-175-181-
185-080840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS CASS
CLARKE DALLAS DECATUR
JASPER LUCAS MADISON
MARION POLK RINGGOLD
TAYLOR UNION WARREN
WAYNE
$$
MOC021-025-049-061-063-075-079-081-117-129-227-080840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON LIVINGSTON
MERCER WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 347
VALID 080655Z - 080740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S STJ TO
15 SW SDA TO 15 N OMA.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-029-039-049-053-071-099-117-121-125-129-137-145-153-
155-159-173-175-181-185-080740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS CASS
CLARKE DALLAS DECATUR
FREMONT JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MARION MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC043-080740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DONIPHAN
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-117-129-147-227-
080740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT LIVINGSTON
MERCER NODAWAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 347
VALID 080535Z - 080640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-029-039-049-053-071-099-117-121-125-129-137-145-153-
155-159-173-175-181-185-080640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS CASS
CLARKE DALLAS DECATUR
FREMONT JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MARION MILLS
MONTGOMERY PAGE POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC013-043-117-131-201-080640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN DONIPHAN MARSHALL
NEMAHA WASHINGTON
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-117-129-147-227-
080640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT LIVINGSTON
MERCER NODAWAY WORTH
$$
NEC025-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-155-159-
080640-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.