Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
EASTERN KANSAS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1110 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BURLINGTON
IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 343...WW 345...WW
346...WW 347...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN KS AND WESTERN/CENTRAL MO
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...EVENTUALLY SPREADING INTO WESTERN IL LATE
TONIGHT. AMPLE INSTABILITY AND STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN THE STRONGER
CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 348 SEVERE TSTM IA IL KS MO 080410Z - 081000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SSW MHK/MANHATTAN KS/ - 40SE BRL/BURLINGTON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /37ESE SLN - 44NE UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 39749684 41319058 39439058 37849684
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 348 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 348
VALID 080945Z - 081000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW SZL
TO 35 SSE CDJ TO 45 SE CDJ TO 10 N COU.
WW 348 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 081000Z.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-053-083-089-101-159-195-081000-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES COOPER HENRY
HOWARD JOHNSON PETTIS
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 348
VALID 080850Z - 080940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE OJC
TO 30 W SZL TO 35 ENE MKC TO 45 SE CDJ TO 15 NNW COU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 985.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-053-083-089-101-107-159-195-080940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES COOPER HENRY
HOWARD JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
PETTIS SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 348
VALID 080840Z - 080940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S OJC TO
15 ESE CDJ TO 30 E LWD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 984.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-131-187-080940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH MERCER
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-080940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY JEFFERSON
LEE LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-045-053-083-089-101-103-107-111-115-121-
127-137-159-171-173-175-195-197-199-205-211-080940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLARK
COOPER HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN MACON
MARION MONROE PETTIS
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
SALINE SCHUYLER SCOTLAND
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 348
VALID 080745Z - 080840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S EMP TO
25 SSE TOP TO 5 SSW STJ TO 15 E STJ TO 40 WSW LWD.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-131-187-080840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH MERCER
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-080840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY JEFFERSON
LEE LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
KSC003-031-045-059-091-103-107-121-209-080840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LINN MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-045-047-053-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-
115-121-127-137-159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-199-205-211-
080840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLARK
CLAY COOPER HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN MACON MARION
MONROE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SCOTLAND SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 348
VALID 080655Z - 080740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW EMP
TO 25 W TOP TO 30 S FNB TO 5 SW STJ TO 15 ENE FNB.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-131-187-080740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH MERCER
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-080740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY JEFFERSON
LEE LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
KSC003-005-031-045-059-087-091-103-107-111-121-139-177-209-
080740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON COFFEY
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MIAMI OSAGE
SHAWNEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-045-047-053-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-
115-121-127-137-159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-199-205-211-
080740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLARK
CLAY COOPER HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN MACON MARION
MONROE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SCOTLAND SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 348
VALID 080535Z - 080640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-067-071-109-131-187-080640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN HANCOCK
HENDERSON MCDONOUGH MERCER
WARREN
$$
IAC057-087-101-111-115-177-080640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DES MOINES HENRY JEFFERSON
LEE LOUISA VAN BUREN
$$
KSC003-005-031-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-107-111-121-127-139-
149-161-177-197-209-080640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON COFFEY
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GEARY
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MORRIS OSAGE
POTTAWATOMIE RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-013-033-037-041-045-047-053-083-089-095-101-103-107-111-
115-121-127-137-159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-199-205-211-
080640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATES CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLARK
CLAY COOPER HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN MACON MARION
MONROE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SCOTLAND SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.