Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 349
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1130 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST OF
WICHITA KANSAS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 343...WW 345...WW
346...WW 347...WW 348...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE
TO THE WEST OF ICT ALONG A SURGING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL
LIKELY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AND SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KS AND INTO SOUTHWEST MO. STRONG INSTABILITY AND LINEAR
FORCING OF STORMS WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IN
STRONGER CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 349 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 080430Z - 081000Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20W ICT/WICHITA KS/ - 50NNE SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /12WSW ICT - 35NNE SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 38369780 38619302 37159302 36939780
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 349 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 349
VALID 080945Z - 081000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W JLN TO
30 NE CNU TO 55 ENE CNU TO 25 SSE OJC.
WW 349 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 081000Z.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-081000-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-015-039-085-141-185-217-081000-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CEDAR
HICKORY MORGAN ST. CLAIR
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 349
VALID 080845Z - 080940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW BVO TO
25 N CNU TO 55 ENE CNU TO 20 SSE OJC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 985.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-021-037-099-125-133-205-080940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHEROKEE
CRAWFORD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC011-015-039-085-141-185-217-080940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CEDAR
HICKORY MORGAN ST. CLAIR
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 349
VALID 080745Z - 080840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE PNC TO
40 SSW EMP TO 20 ENE EMP.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-080840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE COWLEY CRAWFORD
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
$$
MOC011-015-039-085-141-185-217-080840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CEDAR
HICKORY MORGAN ST. CLAIR
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 349
VALID 080700Z - 080740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW ICT TO
15 E ICT TO 40 NE ICT TO 40 WNW EMP.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-015-017-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-191-205-
207-080740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
MOC011-015-039-085-141-185-217-080740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CEDAR
HICKORY MORGAN ST. CLAIR
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 349
VALID 080540Z - 080640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-015-017-019-021-035-037-049-073-077-079-099-115-125-
133-173-191-205-207-080640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD HARPER HARVEY
LABETTE MARION MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC011-015-039-085-141-185-217-080640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BENTON CEDAR
HICKORY MORGAN ST. CLAIR
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.