Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 353
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 435 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MATTOON ILLINOIS TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 350...WW 351...WW 352...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING ALONG A SURFACE
BOUNDARY FROM CENTRAL IL INTO SOUTHERN MO. EXTREME INSTABILITY AND
FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR AHEAD OF THE ACTIVITY WILL PROMOTE
ORGANIZED AND ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 353 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 082135Z - 090300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NE MTO/MATTOON IL/ - 30SE UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /37WNW TTH - 33NW ARG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 39668698 36439050 36439248 39668905
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 353 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 353
VALID 090035Z - 090140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW STL
TO 15 NW SLO TO 15 S CMI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 996
..JEWELL..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-019-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-049-051-055-065-077-
079-081-101-121-133-145-157-159-163-173-181-183-189-191-199-
090140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLAY CLINTON COLES
CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS
EDGAR EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
FRANKLIN HAMILTON JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
MARION MONROE PERRY
RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SHELBY UNION VERMILION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-067-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-179-
181-186-187-201-203-207-215-221-223-090140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON OREGON
OZARK PERRY REYNOLDS
RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
TEXAS WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 353
VALID 082335Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/08/09
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...ILX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-005-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-049-051-055-
065-077-079-081-101-117-119-121-133-135-139-145-157-159-163-173-
181-183-189-191-199-090040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER BOND CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN
HAMILTON JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY MOULTRIE PERRY
RANDOLPH RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SHELBY UNION VERMILION
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-055-065-067-091-093-099-123-149-153-157-179-
181-186-187-189-201-203-207-215-221-223-510-090040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER CRAWFORD DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL IRON
JEFFERSON MADISON OREGON
OZARK PERRY REYNOLDS
RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS
ST. LOUIS SCOTT SHANNON
STODDARD TEXAS WASHINGTON
WAYNE
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.