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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 355
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM EDT TUE JUN 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BINGHAMTON NEW YORK TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HARRISBURG
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 354...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND A SUBTLE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING EWD
INTO CENTRAL NY/PA THIS AFTERNOON...AND W OF THE COOL AIR MASS STILL
RESIDING OVER NEW ENGLAND. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KT
LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED MULTICELLS...AND
POSSIBLY ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 355 SEVERE TSTM NY PA 091730Z - 100000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75NE BGM/BINGHAMTON NY/ - 50SW CXY/HARRISBURG PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /51WNW ALB - 27WNW EMI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 42957373 39707637 39707862 42957612
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 355 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 355
VALID 092225Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W UNV TO
30 NW AVP TO 40 ENE BGM TO 30 E UCA.
..JEWELL..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BGM...ALY...CTP...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC025-077-105-092340-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE OTSEGO SULLIVAN
$$
PAC001-009-011-013-025-027-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-069-071-
075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-119-
127-131-133-092340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR CARBON CENTRE
COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON
JUNIATA LACKAWANNA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE
LYCOMING MIFFLIN MONROE
MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PERRY PIKE SCHUYLKILL
SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA
UNION WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 355
VALID 092150Z - 092240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BGM...ALY...CTP...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC025-035-043-057-077-095-105-092240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE FULTON HERKIMER
MONTGOMERY OTSEGO SCHOHARIE
SULLIVAN
$$
PAC001-009-011-013-025-027-035-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-069-
071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-
117-119-127-131-133-092240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR CARBON CENTRE
CLINTON COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND
DAUPHIN FRANKLIN FULTON
HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LACKAWANNA
LANCASTER LEBANON LEHIGH
LUZERNE LYCOMING MIFFLIN
MONROE MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SULLIVAN
SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA UNION
WAYNE WYOMING YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 355
VALID 092030Z - 092140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
..GARNER..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BGM...ALY...CTP...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC007-017-025-035-043-057-077-095-105-107-092140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOME CHENANGO DELAWARE
FULTON HERKIMER MONTGOMERY
OTSEGO SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN
TIOGA
$$
PAC001-009-011-013-015-025-027-035-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-
069-071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-
115-117-119-127-131-133-092140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR BRADFORD CARBON
CENTRE CLINTON COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN
FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE LYCOMING
MIFFLIN MONROE MONTOUR
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY
PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 355
VALID 091940Z - 092040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BGM...ALY...CTP...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC007-017-025-035-043-057-077-095-105-107-092040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOME CHENANGO DELAWARE
FULTON HERKIMER MONTGOMERY
OTSEGO SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN
TIOGA
$$
PAC001-009-011-013-015-025-027-035-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-
069-071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-
115-117-119-127-131-133-092040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR BRADFORD CARBON
CENTRE CLINTON COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN
FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE LYCOMING
MIFFLIN MONROE MONTOUR
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY
PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 355
VALID 091840Z - 091940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...BGM...ALY...CTP...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC007-017-025-035-043-057-077-095-105-107-091940-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOME CHENANGO DELAWARE
FULTON HERKIMER MONTGOMERY
OTSEGO SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN
TIOGA
$$
PAC001-009-011-013-015-025-027-035-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-
069-071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-
115-117-119-127-131-133-091940-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BERKS
BLAIR BRADFORD CARBON
CENTRE CLINTON COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN
FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE LYCOMING
MIFFLIN MONROE MONTOUR
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY
PIKE SCHUYLKILL SNYDER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.