Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 354...WW 355...WW
356...WW 357...
DISCUSSION...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM ONGOING STORMS IN SE KS/SW MO
IS DRIFTING SWD ACROSS SRN KS...AND THE WRN PORTION OF THE BOUNDARY
WILL STALL THIS AFTERNOON NEAR ICT...WITH STORM DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. MEANWHILE...LOW-LEVEL WINDS HAVE VEERED AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE ACROSS NRN OK/SRN KS...WITH
SOMEWHAT STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR FARTHER E TOWARD SE KS. SHORT
TERM MODEL FORECASTS ARE UNCLEAR ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL RESPOND TO A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTING ENEWD OVER THE
TX PANHANDLE. ALSO...THE COLD POOL IS STILL RELATIVELY NEW AND MAY
NOT HAVE SUFFICIENT TIME TO MODIFY BEFORE NEW STORMS FORM ALONG THE
BOUNDARY...WHICH CASTS SOME DOUBT ON THE THREAT FOR
LONG-LIVED/INTENSE TORNADOES. REGARDLESS...THE STORM ENVIRONMENT
WILL STILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW TORNADOES THROUGH THIS EVENING...GIVEN MLCAPE AOA 3000
J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AOA 50 KT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 358 TORNADO KS OK 091935Z - 100300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65WNW P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/ - 40SE CNU/CHANUTE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /53ESE GCK - 13ENE OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 38439968 38069497 36459497 36849968
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 358 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 358
VALID 100030Z - 100140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/10/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-019-033-035-047-049-073-077-079-095-097-099-125-
133-151-155-173-185-191-205-207-100140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE COWLEY
EDWARDS ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
KIOWA LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO PRATT RENO
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-035-053-071-105-113-115-147-151-100140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CRAIG GRANT
KAY NOWATA OSAGE
OTTAWA WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 358
VALID 092225Z - 092340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-019-033-035-047-049-073-077-079-095-097-099-125-
133-151-155-173-185-191-205-207-092340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE COWLEY
EDWARDS ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
KIOWA LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO PRATT RENO
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-035-053-071-105-113-115-147-151-092340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CRAIG GRANT
KAY NOWATA OSAGE
OTTAWA WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 358
VALID 092030Z - 092140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/09/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-019-033-035-047-049-073-077-079-095-097-099-125-
133-151-155-173-185-191-205-207-092140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE COWLEY
EDWARDS ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
KIOWA LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO PRATT RENO
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-035-053-071-105-113-115-147-151-092140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CRAIG GRANT
KAY NOWATA OSAGE
OTTAWA WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.