Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 366
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
EASTERN AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF GROVE OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES WEST OF MCALESTER
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 364...WW 365...
DISCUSSION...A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM
CENTRAL TOWARD ERN OK...IN ADVANCE OF A MID LEVEL TROUGH EJECTING
NEWD OVER THE TX PANHANDLE TO WRN OK. LIFT IN ADVANCE OF THIS MID
LEVEL WAVE...AND ON THE LEADING EDGE OF A LARGE
CONVECTIVELY-GENERATED COLD POOL...WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
MID LEVEL FLOW FROM W-E AND MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT
A CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 366 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 102045Z - 110300Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NNW GMJ/GROVE OK/ - 60W MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /18SE OSW - 43NNE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 36939291 34869490 34869877 36939690
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 366 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 366
VALID 110250Z - 110300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MLC TO
15 SE FYV.
WW 366 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 03Z.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 366
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC047-131-110300-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
$$
OKC023-077-079-127-110300-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LATIMER LE FLORE
PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 366
VALID 110050Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E MLC TO
25 WSW JLN.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 366
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-023-061-077-079-121-127-135-110140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHOCTAW HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 366
VALID 102340Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W MLC TO
25 NNW GMJ.
..GUYER..06/10/09
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 366
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-110040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-115-121-127-135-
110040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG DELAWARE HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.