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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 520
PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONETT MISSOURI. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 364...WW 365...WW 366...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
THROUGH THIS EVE IN POCKET OF MODERATE SFC-BASED INSTABILITY
DOWNSTREAM FROM SRN PLNS SHORTWAVE TROUGH. DISCRETE STORMS INVOF
SFC WAVE NOW IN W CNTRL MO...ALONG SFC BOUNDARY EXTENDING E FROM THE
WAVE...AND IN WAVE WARM SECTOR...MAY YIELD ISOLD TORNADOES GIVEN
MODERATE SHEAR AND VERY MOIST LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT. FARTHER
SW...EXPECT MORE CONCENTRATED CONVECTION...POSSIBLY A
LOOSELY-ORGANIZED MCS WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS...TO DEVELOP ENE FROM NE
OK. THESE STORMS MAY YIELD SVR HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR
TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 367 TORNADO KS MO 102220Z - 110600Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NNE COU/COLUMBIA MO/ - 35SE UMN/MONETT MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /22NNE COU - 36ENE RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 39139018 36509165 36509525 39139391
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 367 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 367
VALID 110435Z - 110540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S UNO TO
30 W FAM.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC093-179-110540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
IRON REYNOLDS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 367
VALID 110245Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N HRO TO
10 NNW TBN TO 45 NW COU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1036
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC007-019-027-051-053-055-065-067-071-073-089-091-093-099-113-
125-135-139-149-151-153-161-169-179-183-189-203-213-215-219-221-
229-510-110340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
COLE COOPER CRAWFORD
DENT DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GASCONADE HOWARD HOWELL
IRON JEFFERSON LINCOLN
MARIES MONITEAU MONTGOMERY
OREGON OSAGE OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI REYNOLDS
ST. CHARLES ST. LOUIS SHANNON
TANEY TEXAS WARREN
WASHINGTON WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 367
VALID 110025Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S UMN TO
35 NW SGF TO 30 WSW SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1032.
..GRAMS..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC007-009-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-053-055-057-059-065-067-
071-073-077-083-085-089-091-093-099-101-105-109-113-125-131-135-
139-141-149-151-153-159-161-167-169-179-183-185-189-195-203-209-
213-215-219-221-225-229-510-110140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COLE
COOPER CRAWFORD DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWARD
HOWELL IRON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARIES MILLER
MONITEAU MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OREGON OSAGE OZARK
PETTIS PHELPS POLK
PULASKI REYNOLDS ST. CHARLES
ST. CLAIR ST. LOUIS SALINE
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 367
VALID 102325Z - 110040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/10/09
ATTN...WFO...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-021-037-110040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC007-009-011-013-015-019-027-029-037-039-043-051-053-055-057-
059-065-067-071-073-077-083-085-089-091-093-097-099-101-105-109-
113-119-125-131-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-159-161-167-169-179-
183-185-189-195-203-209-213-215-217-219-221-225-229-510-
110040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COLE
COOPER CRAWFORD DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWARD
HOWELL IRON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LACLEDE
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NEWTON
OREGON OSAGE OZARK
PETTIS PHELPS POLK
PULASKI REYNOLDS ST. CHARLES
ST. CLAIR ST. LOUIS SALINE
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS VERNON WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WRIGHT
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
