Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 840 AM UNTIL
200 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
CROSSVILLE TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 373...
DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEFINED MCV IS MOVING EWD FROM WRN INTO MIDDLE
TN THIS MORNING. THE 12Z SOUNDING FROM NASHVILLE SHOWED MLCAPE OF
ALMOST 3000 J/KG AND MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION...WHILE THE
MEMPHIS VWP REVEALED A 40-50 KT JET AS LOW AS 2 KM AGL IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE MCV. THIS COMBINATION OF INGREDIENTS WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND
SPREADING EWD INTO ERN TN LATER THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON...WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 374 SEVERE TSTM TN 111340Z - 111900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55SSW CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/ - 40ESE CSV/CROSSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /57WSW BNA - 28WSW VXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 36668780 36528441 34938441 35088780
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 374 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 374
VALID 111635Z - 111740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 374
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-
051-055-061-065-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-
119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-
153-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-111740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BENTON
BLEDSOE BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON CHEATHAM CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB DICKSON FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HAMILTON HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON
MCMINN MACON MARION
MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS
MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE
MORGAN OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SCOTT SEQUATCHIE
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 374
VALID 111530Z - 111640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 374
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-
051-055-061-065-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-
119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-
153-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-111640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BENTON
BLEDSOE BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON CHEATHAM CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB DICKSON FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HAMILTON HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON
MCMINN MACON MARION
MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS
MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE
MORGAN OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SCOTT SEQUATCHIE
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 374
VALID 111445Z - 111540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 374
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC001-003-005-007-011-013-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-
051-055-061-065-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-
119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-
153-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-111540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BENTON
BLEDSOE BRADLEY CAMPBELL
CANNON CHEATHAM CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DEKALB DICKSON FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HAMILTON HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON
MCMINN MACON MARION
MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS
MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE
MORGAN OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SCOTT SEQUATCHIE
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.