Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 378
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
LUBBOCK TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TEMPLE TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 375...WW 376...WW 377...
DISCUSSION...STRONG SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION IS SUPPORTING
INITIAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF THE
DRYLINE AND A NW-SE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NEAR BROWNWOOD. A CORRIDOR OF
LOW 70S BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 95-100
F NOSING INTO THE BOUNDARY INTERSECTION ZONE ARE RESULTING IN STRONG
INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AOA 4000 J/KG/. LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR
ARE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS TO MOVE SEWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...AND THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES...ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS. OTHER
ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR FARTHER NW TOWARD THE AREA SE
OF LBB TO ABI ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY. LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...STORM MERGERS/INTERACTIONS COULD LEAD TO THE
FORMATION OF A CLUSTER OF HP SUPERCELLS/SMALL MCS WITH AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 378 TORNADO TX 111935Z - 120300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50ENE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/ - 55SSW TPL/TEMPLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /45SW CDS - 8NNW AUS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32020.
LAT...LON 33939970 30409651 30409902 33930231
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 378 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 378
VALID 120105Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE BGS TO
55 SW SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1063
..GUYER..06/12/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 378
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-053-059-083-093-099-133-143-145-151-193-207-253-
281-299-307-309-331-333-353-395-399-411-417-441-447-453-491-
120240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
BURNET CALLAHAN COLEMAN
COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND
ERATH FALLS FISHER
HAMILTON HASKELL JONES
LAMPASAS LLANO MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MILAM MILLS
NOLAN ROBERTSON RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 378
VALID 112355Z - 120040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 378
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-053-059-083-093-099-101-107-125-133-143-145-151-
153-169-193-207-253-263-269-281-299-307-309-331-333-345-353-395-
399-411-417-433-441-447-453-491-120040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
BURNET CALLAHAN COLEMAN
COMANCHE CORYELL COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FALLS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA HAMILTON
HASKELL JONES KENT
KING LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MILAM
MILLS MOTLEY NOLAN
ROBERTSON RUNNELS SAN SABA
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 378
VALID 112330Z - 120040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 378
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-035-049-053-059-083-093-099-101-107-125-133-143-145-151-
153-169-193-207-253-263-269-281-299-307-309-331-333-345-353-395-
399-411-417-433-441-447-453-491-120040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE BROWN
BURNET CALLAHAN COLEMAN
COMANCHE CORYELL COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FALLS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA HAMILTON
HASKELL JONES KENT
KING LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MILAM
MILLS MOTLEY NOLAN
ROBERTSON RUNNELS SAN SABA
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 378
VALID 112155Z - 112240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 378
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-049-053-059-083-093-099-101-107-125-133-151-153-169-193-
207-253-263-269-281-299-307-331-333-345-353-399-411-417-433-441-
447-453-491-112240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BROWN BURNET
CALLAHAN COLEMAN COMANCHE
CORYELL COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS EASTLAND FISHER
FLOYD GARZA HAMILTON
HASKELL JONES KENT
KING LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MILAM MILLS
MOTLEY NOLAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TRAVIS
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 378
VALID 112055Z - 112140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 378
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-049-053-059-083-093-099-101-107-125-133-151-153-169-193-
207-253-263-269-281-299-307-331-333-345-353-399-411-417-433-441-
447-453-491-112140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BROWN BURNET
CALLAHAN COLEMAN COMANCHE
CORYELL COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS EASTLAND FISHER
FLOYD GARZA HAMILTON
HASKELL JONES KENT
KING LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MILAM MILLS
MOTLEY NOLAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TRAVIS
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.