Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 385
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF EASTERN COLORADO
PART OF WESTERN KANSAS
PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
PARTS OF OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF GOODLAND KANSAS TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ALONG AND E OF DRY LINE. 40-50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MLCAPES TO
2000 J/KG SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS. HIGH BASES SUGGEST
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 385 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 291915Z - 300200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNE GLD/GOODLAND KS/ - 50SSW CVS/CANNON AFB NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /24NNE GLD - 53ENE ROW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 39750006 33700234 33700495 39750290
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 385 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 385
VALID 300130Z - 300200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N CNM TO
20 NNW TCC TO 40 N GLD.
WW 385 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300200Z.
..HURLBUT..05/30/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-099-300200-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-300200-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC009-037-041-059-300200-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-300200-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-195-205-279-295-341-357-359-369-375-381-
421-437-300200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HANSFORD
HARTLEY LAMB LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 385
VALID 300035Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW ROW
TO 25 WSW TCC TO 40 N TCC TO 30 NW CAO TO 20 SE LHX TO 30 NNW LAA
TO 30 NNW GLD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1086
..BOTHWELL..05/30/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-061-099-300140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
KIOWA PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC005-009-011-037-041-059-300140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-300140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-195-205-279-295-341-357-359-369-375-381-
421-437-300140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HANSFORD
HARTLEY LAMB LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 385
VALID 292335Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW ROW
TO 40 SW TCC TO 40 N TCC TO 30 NW CAO TO 25 SSE LHX TO 40 NNW LAA
TO 30 NNW GLD.
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-061-099-300040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
KIOWA PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC005-009-011-037-041-059-300040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-300040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-205-279-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-
300040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
LAMB MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 385
VALID 292240Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-061-063-071-089-099-292340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-292340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC005-009-011-019-021-037-041-059-292340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-292340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-205-279-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-
292340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
LAMB MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 385
VALID 292135Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-061-063-071-089-099-292240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-292240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC005-009-011-019-021-037-041-059-292240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-292240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-205-279-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-
292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
LAMB MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 385
VALID 292100Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-061-063-071-089-099-292240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
$$
KSC055-067-071-075-081-093-101-109-129-171-175-181-187-189-193-
199-203-292240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEY GRANT GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY
LANE LOGAN MORTON
SCOTT SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC005-009-011-019-021-037-041-059-292240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-292240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-205-279-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-
292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
LAMB MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.