Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 386
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHERN KANSAS
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ONEILL NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...WW 385...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS WATCH
AREA REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. STRONG SHEAR AND MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG
SUPPORT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL WITH ANY SUPERCELL. POTENTIAL
FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 386 TORNADO KS NE 291930Z - 300300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE ONL/ONEILL NE/ - 45WSW RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /31NNE ONL - 49SE HLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 42919654 38599783 38590134 42910029
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 386 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 386
VALID 300135Z - 300240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/30/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-300240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-300240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 386
VALID 300020Z - 300140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BOTHWELL..05/30/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-300140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-300140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 386
VALID 292340Z - 300040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-300040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 386
VALID 292245Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-292340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-292340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 386
VALID 292140Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1082
..BOTHWELL..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-292240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-292240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 386
VALID 292100Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/29/08
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GLD...DDC...ICT...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC029-039-051-053-063-065-089-105-123-137-141-143-147-153-157-
163-167-179-183-195-292240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLOUD DECATUR ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GOVE GRAHAM
JEWELL LINCOLN MITCHELL
NORTON OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS RAWLINS REPUBLIC
ROOKS RUSSELL SHERIDAN
SMITH TREGO
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-015-017-019-027-035-041-047-059-061-063-065-
071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-099-103-107-111-113-115-
119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-145-149-163-167-169-171-175-179-
181-183-185-292240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BOYD BROWN
BUFFALO CEDAR CLAY
CUSTER DAWSON FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT
HOWARD KEARNEY KEYA PAHA
KNOX LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THOMAS
VALLEY WAYNE WEBSTER
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.