Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 390
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 388...WW 389...
DISCUSSION...AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND VIRTUALLY UNCAPPED AIR MASS
HAS DEVELOPED VICINITY AND JUST E OF DRY LINE. VERY RAPID
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH.
GIVEN THE INSTABILITY AND 40-50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR...SUPERCELLS
ARE LIKELY WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY AT
LEAST AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT IS LIKELY WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT
DEVELOPS. STORMS WILL MOVE/DEVELOP SLOWLY S OF E AWAY FROM DRY LINE
INITIATION AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30015.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 390 TORNADO TX 122030Z - 130400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35E SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/ - 15SSE JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /35E SPS - 18SSE JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30015.
LAT...LON 33979709 30319891 30310043 33979866
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 390 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 390
VALID 130245Z - 130340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW JCT
TO 35 SSW BWD TO 25 NE SEP.
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 390
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-033-067-085-130340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COTTON JEFFERSON
LOVE
$$
TXC027-035-099-145-193-217-221-251-267-281-293-307-309-319-331-
333-395-411-425-130340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOSQUE CORYELL
FALLS HAMILTON HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MASON MILAM
MILLS ROBERTSON SAN SABA
SOMERVELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 390
VALID 130200Z - 130340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW JCT
TO 35 SSW BWD TO 15 NNW MWL TO 35 E SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1088.
..GRAMS..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 390
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-067-085-130340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER JEFFERSON LOVE
$$
TXC035-085-093-097-099-113-121-139-143-181-193-217-221-251-267-
281-307-319-333-337-367-411-425-439-497-130340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON ELLIS ERATH
GRAYSON HAMILTON HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KIMBLE
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MASON
MILLS MONTAGUE PARKER
SAN SABA SOMERVELL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 390
VALID 122240Z - 122340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..06/12/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 390
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-035-049-059-077-083-085-093-095-097-099-113-121-133-139-
143-181-193-217-221-237-251-267-281-307-319-327-333-337-363-367-
411-417-425-429-439-485-497-503-122340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COLLIN COMANCHE CONCHO
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH GRAYSON HAMILTON
HILL HOOD JACK
JOHNSON KIMBLE LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER SAN SABA SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
WICHITA WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.