Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 391
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST
OF ELIZABETH CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO 45 MILES WEST OF SAVANNAH
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 388...WW 389...WW 390...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA AS THE VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS BECOMES
VIRTUALLY UNCAPPED. AS SEA BREEZE FRONT WORKS INLAND...LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL ENHANCE BOTH INTENSITY AND NUMBER OF STORMS.
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THRU THE
EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 391 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC CW 122050Z - 130300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
15ESE ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/ - 45W SAV/SAVANNAH GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /13ESE ECG - 44W SAV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 35527537 31468144 32778251 36847650
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 391 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 391
VALID 130225Z - 130300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE VDI
TO 15 NE CHS TO 25 ESE CRE TO 25 SSE OAJ TO 20 N ECG.
REMAINING PORTION OF WW 391 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 03Z.
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-051-179-183-191-130300-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CHATHAM LIBERTY
LONG MCINTOSH
$$
NCC029-031-053-055-095-137-139-143-177-130300-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN CARTERET CURRITUCK
DARE HYDE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
$$
SCC013-019-053-130300-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CHARLESTON JASPER
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-330-350-352-354-ANZ633-658-
130300-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 391
VALID 130135Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E VDI TO
20 NNW CHS TO 20 ESE CRE TO 25 SSE OAJ TO 15 W ORF.
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-051-103-109-179-183-191-267-130240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CHATHAM
EFFINGHAM EVANS LIBERTY
LONG MCINTOSH TATTNALL
$$
NCC013-029-031-041-053-055-095-103-137-139-143-177-187-130240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT CAMDEN CARTERET
CHOWAN CURRITUCK DARE
HYDE JONES PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-049-053-130240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
HAMPTON JASPER
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-330-350-352-354-ANZ633-658-
130240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 391
VALID 130030Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW AGS TO
40 ENE OGB TO 15 E GSB TO 25 E RZZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1085
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-130140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-041-047-049-053-055-061-073-079-091-
095-103-107-117-129-133-137-139-141-143-147-177-187-130140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN
BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CARTERET
CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
GATES GREENE HERTFORD
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PITT TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
SCC005-013-015-019-029-035-041-043-049-051-053-067-089-130140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CHARLESTON COLLETON DORCHESTER
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HAMPTON
HORRY JASPER MARION
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-
ANZ633-658-130140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 391
VALID 122350Z - 130040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW SOP
TO 15 E GSB TO 25 E RZZ.
..GUYER..06/12/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-130040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-041-047-049-051-053-055-061-073-079-
091-095-103-107-117-129-133-137-139-141-143-147-155-163-177-187-
130040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN
BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CARTERET
CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN GATES GREENE
HERTFORD HYDE JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PASQUOTANK
PENDER PERQUIMANS PITT
ROBESON SAMPSON TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
SCC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-049-
051-053-061-067-069-075-085-089-130040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BARNWELL
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CALHOUN
CHARLESTON CLARENDON COLLETON
DARLINGTON DILLON DORCHESTER
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HAMPTON
HORRY JASPER LEE
MARION MARLBORO ORANGEBURG
SUMTER WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-
ANZ633-658-130040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 391
VALID 122240Z - 122340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/12/09
ATTN...WFO...CHS...MHX...AKQ...ILM...RAH...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 391
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-251-267-122340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH CANDLER
CHATHAM EFFINGHAM EVANS
JENKINS LIBERTY LONG
MCINTOSH SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC013-015-017-019-029-031-041-047-049-051-053-055-061-065-073-
079-083-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-
147-155-163-177-187-191-195-122340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BLADEN
BRUNSWICK CAMDEN CARTERET
CHOWAN COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GATES
GREENE HALIFAX HERTFORD
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NEW HANOVER NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PITT ROBESON
SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-049-
051-053-061-067-069-075-085-089-122340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLENDALE BAMBERG BARNWELL
BEAUFORT BERKELEY CALHOUN
CHARLESTON CLARENDON COLLETON
DARLINGTON DILLON DORCHESTER
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HAMPTON
HORRY JASPER LEE
MARION MARLBORO ORANGEBURG
SUMTER WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-
ANZ633-658-122340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.