Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM 715 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
JUNCTION TEXAS TO 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 389...WW 390...WW
391...WW 392...WW 393...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL COMPLEX IN SAN SABA COUNTY IN CNTRL TX
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY SSE INTO EWX CWA. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO BEFORE
DIURNAL INCREASE IN CIN RESULTS IN WEAKENING LATER TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34015.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 394 TORNADO TX 130015Z - 130500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ESE JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 100NE JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /43ESE JCT - 67W ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34015.
LAT...LON 30279998 31539950 31539763 30279815
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 394 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 394
VALID 130455Z - 130500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 394 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 05Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1090
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC031-053-171-299-130500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLANCO BURNET GILLESPIE
LLANO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 394
VALID 130235Z - 130340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1088
..GUYER..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC031-053-171-299-130340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLANCO BURNET GILLESPIE
LLANO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 394
VALID 130200Z - 130340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1088.
..GRAMS..06/13/09
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 394
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC031-053-171-299-130340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLANCO BURNET GILLESPIE
LLANO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.