Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
735 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 735 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 422...WW 423...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS IN NW SD WILL LIKELY MOVE ESEWD
ALONG A DIFFUSE BAROCLINIC ZONE INTO CENTRAL SD THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...BUT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO
MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR AOA 50 KT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 425 SEVERE TSTM SD 030035Z - 030600Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNW PIR/PIERRE SD/ - 80SSE PHP/PHILIP SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /27NNW PIR - 51WNW ANW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 44779898 42979951 42970248 44770204
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 425 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 425
VALID 030545Z - 030600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE VTN
TO 35 NE VTN TO 45 SW 9V9 TO 30 SW 9V9 TO 20 SSW 9V9 TO 20 S 9V9.
WW 425 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 030600Z.
..EDWARDS..06/03/08
ATTN...WFO...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC123-030600-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 425
VALID 030455Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE VTN TO
45 W 9V9 TO 5 SW 9V9.
..SPC..06/03/08
ATTN...WFO...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC123-030540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 425
VALID 030340Z - 030440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/03/08
ATTN...WFO...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC007-017-055-059-065-069-071-075-085-095-117-121-123-030440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT BUFFALO HAAKON
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 425
VALID 030235Z - 030340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/03/08
ATTN...WFO...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC007-017-055-059-065-069-071-075-085-095-117-121-123-030340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT BUFFALO HAAKON
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 425
VALID 030140Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..06/03/08
ATTN...WFO...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC007-017-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-121-123-030240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT BUFFALO HAAKON
HUGHES JACKSON JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE STANLEY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.