SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 434
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA
          PARTS OF NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BISMARCK
   NORTH DAKOTA TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF WATERTOWN SOUTH
   DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 432...WW 433...
   
   DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING IN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
   AROUND UPPER LOW LOCATED W OF BIS.  WITH MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG AND
   VEERING SHEAR PROFILES...POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE FOR SUPERCELLS
   INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES THRU THE AFTERNOON AS ACTIVITY
   SHIFTS SLOWLY N AND NE THRU THE WATCH
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 434
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA
          PARTS OF NORTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
   800 PM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BISMARCK
   NORTH DAKOTA TO 50 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF WATERTOWN SOUTH
   DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
   WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 432...WW 433...
   
   DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS ARE DEVELOPING IN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
   AROUND UPPER LOW LOCATED W OF BIS.  WITH MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG AND
   VEERING SHEAR PROFILES...POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE FOR SUPERCELLS
   INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES THRU THE AFTERNOON AS ACTIVITY
   SHIFTS SLOWLY N AND NE THRU THE WATCH
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18025.
   
   
   ...HALES

   WOUS64 KWNS 161902
   WOU4
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 434
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   205 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   TORNADO WATCH 434 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-170100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0434.090616T1905Z-090617T0100Z/
   
   ND 
   .    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BURLEIGH             DICKEY              EMMONS              
   GRANT                LAMOURE             LOGAN               
   MCINTOSH             MORTON              SIOUX               
   
   
   SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
   170100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0434.090616T1905Z-090617T0100Z/
   
   SD 
   .    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BROWN                CAMPBELL            CLARK               
   CODINGTON            CORSON              DAY                 
   EDMUNDS              FAULK               HAMLIN              
   HAND                 MARSHALL            MCPHERSON           
   POTTER               SPINK               WALWORTH            
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...
   
   
   

   SAW4 
   WW 434 TORNADO ND SD 161905Z - 170100Z
   AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   10NE BIS/BISMARCK ND/ - 50WSW ATY/WATERTOWN SD/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /7NNE BIS - 48SSE ABR/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 18025.
   
   LAT...LON 46869891 44639645 44639972 46860229
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU4.
   

Watch 434 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 434

VALID 170030Z - 170100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

WW 434 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 17/01Z.

..KERR..06/17/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-170100-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
170100-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 434

VALID 162340Z - 170040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..06/16/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-170040-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
170040-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 434

VALID 162245Z - 162340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

BUT...THE THREAT MAY BE DIMINISHING ENOUGH THE THE WW COULD BE 
CANCELLED EARLY.  A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..KERR..06/16/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-162340-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
162340-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 434

VALID 162245Z - 162340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

BUT THE THREAT MAY BE DIMINISHING ENOUGH THAT THE WW COULD BE 
CANCELLED EARLY.

..KERR..06/16/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-162340-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
162340-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 434

VALID 162200Z - 162340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..06/16/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-162340-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
162340-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 434

VALID 162030Z - 162140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160

..GARNER..06/16/09

ATTN...WFO...BIS...ABR...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 434 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NDC015-021-029-037-045-047-051-059-085-162140-

ND 
.    NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BURLEIGH	     DICKEY		 EMMONS 	     
GRANT		     LAMOURE		 LOGAN		     
MCINTOSH	     MORTON		 SIOUX		     
$$


SDC013-021-025-029-031-037-045-049-057-059-089-091-107-115-129-
162140-

SD 
.    SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWN		     CAMPBELL		 CLARK		     
CODINGTON	     CORSON		 DAY		     
EDMUNDS 	     FAULK		 HAMLIN 	     
HAND		     MCPHERSON		 MARSHALL	     
POTTER		     SPINK		 WALWORTH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.