Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 441
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH AND EAST GEORGIA
PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
MUCH OF WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF ATHENS
GEORGIA TO 70 MILES NORTH OF FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 439...WW 440...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER AND WEST OF SRN
APPALACHIANS AND WITH A MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AS STORMS EVOLVE INTO SHORT LINES AND
CLUSTERS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY A THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 441 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC 171930Z - 180300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45W AHN/ATHENS GA/ - 70N FLO/FLORENCE SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM EITHER SIDE /25NE ATL - 53SSE GSO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
LAT...LON 34998447 36248008 34157937 32908376
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 441 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 441
VALID 180215Z - 180300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W AVL TO
25 S SPA TO 30 SSW SOP.
WW 441 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 180300Z.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-059-073-085-105-111-117-119-123-125-133-135-137-
139-141-147-157-159-169-181-187-189-195-211-217-219-221-237-241-
245-247-257-265-281-291-297-301-311-317-180300-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FANNIN FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GILMER GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HART
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MADISON MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN RICHMOND ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALTON WARREN
WHITE WILKES
$$
SCC001-003-007-037-045-047-059-065-073-077-081-180300-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ANDERSON
EDGEFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
LAURENS MCCORMICK OCONEE
PICKENS SALUDA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 441
VALID 180140Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW AVL TO
20 SE SPA TO 20 SSW SOP.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-059-073-085-105-111-117-119-123-125-133-135-137-
139-141-147-157-159-169-181-187-189-195-211-217-219-221-237-241-
245-247-257-265-281-291-297-301-311-317-180240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FANNIN FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GILMER GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HART
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MADISON MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN RICHMOND ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALTON WARREN
WHITE WILKES
$$
SCC001-003-007-037-045-047-059-065-073-077-081-180240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ANDERSON
EDGEFIELD GREENVILLE GREENWOOD
LAURENS MCCORMICK OCONEE
PICKENS SALUDA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 441
VALID 180100Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNW AVL TO
20 SE AVL TO 30 SW CLT TO 25 SW SOP.
..SMITH..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-059-073-085-105-111-117-119-123-125-133-135-137-
139-141-147-157-159-169-181-187-189-195-211-217-219-221-237-241-
245-247-257-265-281-291-297-301-311-317-180240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FANNIN FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GILMER GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HART
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MADISON MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN RICHMOND ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALTON WARREN
WHITE WILKES
$$
NCC153-180240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHMOND
$$
SCC001-003-007-017-023-025-037-039-045-047-055-057-059-061-063-
065-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-180240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ANDERSON
CALHOUN CHESTER CHESTERFIELD
EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD GREENVILLE
GREENWOOD KERSHAW LANCASTER
LAURENS LEE LEXINGTON
MCCORMICK NEWBERRY OCONEE
PICKENS RICHLAND SALUDA
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 441
VALID 172135Z - 172240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/17/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-059-073-085-105-111-117-119-123-125-133-135-137-
139-141-147-157-159-169-181-187-189-195-211-217-219-221-237-241-
245-247-257-265-281-291-297-301-311-317-172240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FANNIN FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GILMER GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HART
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MADISON MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN RICHMOND ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALTON WARREN
WHITE WILKES
$$
NCC003-007-009-023-025-027-035-045-057-059-067-071-081-097-109-
111-119-123-149-151-153-159-161-167-179-189-193-197-172240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ANSON ASHE
BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL
CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE FORSYTH GASTON
GUILFORD IREDELL LINCOLN
MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY
POLK RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROWAN RUTHERFORD STANLY
UNION WATAUGA WILKES
YADKIN
$$
SCC001-003-007-017-021-023-025-037-039-045-047-055-057-059-061-
063-065-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-172240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ANDERSON
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON MCCORMICK NEWBERRY
OCONEE PICKENS RICHLAND
SALUDA SPARTANBURG SUMTER
UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 441
VALID 172025Z - 172140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/17/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 441
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-059-073-085-105-111-117-119-123-125-133-135-137-
139-141-147-157-159-169-181-187-189-195-211-217-219-221-237-241-
245-247-257-265-281-291-297-301-311-317-172140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FANNIN FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GILMER GLASCOCK
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HANCOCK HART
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LINCOLN LUMPKIN MCDUFFIE
MADISON MORGAN NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RABUN RICHMOND ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TALIAFERRO TOWNS
UNION WALTON WARREN
WHITE WILKES
$$
NCC003-007-009-023-025-027-035-045-057-059-067-071-081-097-109-
111-119-123-149-151-153-159-161-167-179-189-193-197-172140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER ANSON ASHE
BURKE CABARRUS CALDWELL
CATAWBA CLEVELAND DAVIDSON
DAVIE FORSYTH GASTON
GUILFORD IREDELL LINCOLN
MCDOWELL MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY
POLK RANDOLPH RICHMOND
ROWAN RUTHERFORD STANLY
UNION WATAUGA WILKES
YADKIN
$$
SCC001-003-007-017-021-023-025-037-039-045-047-055-057-059-061-
063-065-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-091-172140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE AIKEN ANDERSON
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD EDGEFIELD FAIRFIELD
GREENVILLE GREENWOOD KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON MCCORMICK NEWBERRY
OCONEE PICKENS RICHLAND
SALUDA SPARTANBURG SUMTER
UNION YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.