Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 443
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS
MUCH OF NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
SAINT JOSEPH MISSOURI TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 439...WW 440...WW
441...WW 442...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL HAVE DEVELOP UPSTREAM FROM WATCH ACROSS SERN
NEB/NERN KS. AIR MASS ACROSS WATCH EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY
SHEARED TO SUPPORT CONTINUATION OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS TRACKING
ESEWD ACROSS NRN MO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 443 TORNADO KS MO 172010Z - 180300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5WNW STJ/SAINT JOSEPH MO/ - 60NE COU/COLUMBIA MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /37NNW MKC - 26SSW UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 40749501 40369143 38499143 38869501
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 443 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 443
VALID 180220Z - 180300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE SZL
TO 35 NNW COU TO 35 NNE IRK.
WW 443 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 180300Z.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC007-019-027-051-053-073-103-111-127-135-137-139-151-173-205-
180300-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
COLE COOPER GASCONADE
KNOX LEWIS MARION
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
OSAGE RALLS SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 443
VALID 180145Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S SZL TO
35 N SZL TO 30 SSW LWD TO 20 WNW LWD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1182
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC001-007-019-027-033-041-051-053-061-073-079-081-089-103-111-
115-117-121-127-129-135-137-139-151-159-171-173-175-195-197-205-
211-180240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL CHARITON
COLE COOPER DAVIESS
GASCONADE GRUNDY HARRISON
HOWARD KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER MONITEAU
MONROE MONTGOMERY OSAGE
PETTIS PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH SALINE SCHUYLER
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 443
VALID 180045Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S SZL TO
35 N SZL TO 15 WSW CDJ TO 35 W CDJ TO 20 WNW LWD.
..GOSS..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC001-007-019-027-033-041-051-053-061-073-079-081-089-103-111-
115-117-121-127-129-135-137-139-151-159-171-173-175-195-197-205-
211-180140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL CHARITON
COLE COOPER DAVIESS
GASCONADE GRUNDY HARRISON
HOWARD KNOX LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MERCER MONITEAU
MONROE MONTGOMERY OSAGE
PETTIS PUTNAM RALLS
RANDOLPH SALINE SCHUYLER
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 443
VALID 172250Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/17/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-103-209-172340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-007-019-025-027-033-037-041-047-049-051-053-061-073-079-
081-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-135-137-139-151-
159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-205-211-172340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE
CALDWELL CALLAWAY CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLAY
CLINTON COLE COOPER
DAVIESS GASCONADE GRUNDY
HARRISON HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
OSAGE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 443
VALID 172135Z - 172240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/17/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-103-209-172240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-007-019-025-027-033-037-041-047-049-051-053-061-073-079-
081-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-135-137-139-151-
159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-205-211-172240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE
CALDWELL CALLAWAY CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLAY
CLINTON COLE COOPER
DAVIESS GASCONADE GRUNDY
HARRISON HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
OSAGE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 443
VALID 172030Z - 172140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/17/09
ATTN...WFO...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-103-209-172140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-007-019-025-027-033-037-041-047-049-051-053-061-073-079-
081-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-129-135-137-139-151-
159-165-171-173-175-177-195-197-205-211-172140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BOONE
CALDWELL CALLAWAY CARROLL
CASS CHARITON CLAY
CLINTON COLE COOPER
DAVIESS GASCONADE GRUNDY
HARRISON HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LAFAYETTE
LEWIS LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MARION MERCER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
OSAGE PETTIS PLATTE
PUTNAM RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE SCHUYLER
SHELBY SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
