Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 451
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN MARYLAND PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST OHIO
SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA
PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF
WHEELING WEST VIRGINIA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MORGANTOWN
WEST VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 440...WW 441...WW
443...WW 445...WW 444...WW 446...WW 447...WW 448...WW 449...WW
450...
DISCUSSION...LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS GIVEN A FEED OF MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE SW AND LIFT
WITH WARM ADVECTION AND A SHORTWAVE TROUGH BRUSHING THIS AREA TO THE
NORTH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 451 SEVERE TSTM MD OH PA WV 180155Z - 180500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20N HLG/WHEELING WV/ - 55SSW MGW/MORGANTOWN WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /28NNE AIR - 10W EKN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
LAT...LON 40457951 38907919 38908143 40458179
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 451 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 451
VALID 180420Z - 180540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW PKB TO
20 NNW LBE.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-023-180540-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY GARRETT
$$
OHC167-180540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC059-180540-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENE
$$
WVC001-013-017-021-023-027-031-033-041-049-051-057-061-071-073-
077-083-085-091-093-095-097-103-105-107-180540-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR CALHOUN DODDRIDGE
GILMER GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY HARRISON LEWIS
MARION MARSHALL MINERAL
MONONGALIA PENDLETON PLEASANTS
PRESTON RANDOLPH RITCHIE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 451
VALID 180345Z - 180440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE ZZV
TO 15 W PIT.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-023-180440-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY GARRETT
$$
OHC013-111-121-167-180440-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT MONROE NOBLE
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-051-059-125-129-180440-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY FAYETTE GREENE
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC001-009-013-017-021-023-027-031-033-041-049-051-057-061-069-
071-073-077-083-085-091-093-095-097-103-105-107-180440-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BROOKE CALHOUN
DODDRIDGE GILMER GRANT
HAMPSHIRE HARDY HARRISON
LEWIS MARION MARSHALL
MINERAL MONONGALIA OHIO
PENDLETON PLEASANTS PRESTON
RANDOLPH RITCHIE TAYLOR
TUCKER TYLER UPSHUR
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 451
VALID 180240Z - 180340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-023-180340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY GARRETT
$$
OHC013-059-067-081-111-121-167-180340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT GUERNSEY HARRISON
JEFFERSON MONROE NOBLE
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-051-059-125-129-180340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY FAYETTE GREENE
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC001-009-013-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-041-049-051-057-061-
069-071-073-077-083-085-091-093-095-097-103-105-107-180340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BROOKE CALHOUN
DODDRIDGE GILMER GRANT
HAMPSHIRE HANCOCK HARDY
HARRISON LEWIS MARION
MARSHALL MINERAL MONONGALIA
OHIO PENDLETON PLEASANTS
PRESTON RANDOLPH RITCHIE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.