Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN GEORGIA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHWESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
PARTS OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1040 AM UNTIL
600 PM EDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
EXTREMELY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...LARGE HAIL
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN
THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ATHENS
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 459...WW 460...
DISCUSSION...BOW ECHO/DERECHO IS MOVING RAPIDLY SEWD CENTRAL KY
DRIVEN BY A 60-70 KT REAR INFLOW JET. MORNING SOUNDINGS SWD INTO GA
INDICATE THAT POTENTIALLY A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE IN
ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM AND WITH DAYTIME HEATING...EXPECT THE CURRENT
ASSOCIATED WIND DAMAGE TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 33045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 461 SEVERE TSTM GA KY NC SC TN 181440Z - 182200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 35SSW AHN/ATHENS GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /31S LOU - 45E ATL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33045.
LAT...LON 37568408 33478208 33478504 37568719
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 461 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 461
VALID 182030Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW CHA
TO 40 S TYS TO 15 SW HSS.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
182140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
NCC043-087-099-113-175-182140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY HAYWOOD JACKSON
MACON TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-182140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC115-182140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 461
VALID 181935Z - 182040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE BNA
TO 30 W TYS TO 50 NW HSS.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
182040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
NCC039-043-075-087-099-113-173-175-182040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
HAYWOOD JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-182040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC009-011-019-029-057-059-061-063-065-067-073-089-091-093-105-
107-115-121-123-139-143-153-155-163-171-179-182040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT BRADLEY CARTER
COCKE GRAINGER GREENE
GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KNOX LOUDON
MCMINN MARION MEIGS
MONROE POLK RHEA
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI WASHINGTON
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-720-182040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 461
VALID 181830Z - 181940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE BNA
TO 15 NNE CSV TO 20 ESE LOZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1205
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
181940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
KYC013-025-051-065-095-109-121-129-131-189-193-181940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
ESTILL HARLAN JACKSON
KNOX LEE LESLIE
OWSLEY PERRY
$$
NCC039-043-075-087-099-113-173-175-181940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
HAYWOOD JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-181940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-019-025-029-035-041-057-059-061-063-
065-067-073-089-091-093-105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-153-
155-163-171-173-175-177-179-185-181940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CARTER CLAIBORNE COCKE
CUMBERLAND DEKALB GRAINGER
GREENE GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MARION
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
POLK RHEA ROANE
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNICOI UNION VAN BUREN
WARREN WASHINGTON WHITE
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-720-181940-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 461
VALID 181730Z - 181840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW BWG TO
55 NNW CSV TO 25 SSE LEX.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
181840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
KYC013-025-051-065-095-109-121-125-129-131-147-189-193-199-203-
231-235-181840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
ESTILL HARLAN JACKSON
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE MCCREARY OWSLEY
PERRY PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
NCC039-043-075-087-099-113-173-175-181840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
HAYWOOD JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-181840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-019-025-027-029-035-041-049-057-059-
061-063-065-067-073-087-089-091-093-105-107-111-115-121-123-129-
133-137-139-141-143-145-151-153-155-159-163-165-169-171-173-175-
177-179-185-189-181840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CARTER CLAIBORNE CLAY
COCKE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS GRAINGER GREENE
GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON
HANCOCK HAWKINS JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KNOX
LOUDON MCMINN MACON
MARION MEIGS MONROE
MORGAN OVERTON PICKETT
POLK PUTNAM RHEA
ROANE SCOTT SEQUATCHIE
SEVIER SMITH SULLIVAN
SUMNER TROUSDALE UNICOI
UNION VAN BUREN WARREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WILSON
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-720-181840-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 461
VALID 181630Z - 181740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
181740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
KYC001-003-005-009-021-045-053-057-073-079-113-125-137-141-147-
155-167-169-171-199-203-207-213-217-227-229-231-235-239-
181740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE CASEY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
GARRARD JESSAMINE LAUREL
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY
MARION MERCER METCALFE
MONROE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOODFORD
$$
NCC039-043-075-087-099-113-173-175-181740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
HAYWOOD JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-181740-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-025-027-029-035-041-049-057-061-063-
065-087-089-093-105-107-111-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-143-
145-151-153-155-159-165-169-173-175-177-185-189-181740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CLAIBORNE CLAY COCKE
CUMBERLAND DEKALB FENTRESS
GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KNOX LOUDON MCMINN
MACON MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN OVERTON
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 461
VALID 181550Z - 181640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-083-085-089-097-105-
111-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-151-157-187-195-
213-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-295-297-311-313-
181640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB DADE DAWSON
DEKALB DOUGLAS ELBERT
FANNIN FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARALSON HART
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
POLK RABUN ROCKDALE
STEPHENS TOWNS UNION
WALKER WALTON WHITE
WHITFIELD
$$
KYC001-003-005-009-021-045-053-057-073-079-113-125-137-141-147-
155-167-169-171-199-203-207-213-217-227-229-231-235-239-
181640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE CASEY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN
GARRARD JESSAMINE LAUREL
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY
MARION MERCER METCALFE
MONROE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOODFORD
$$
NCC039-043-075-087-099-113-173-175-181640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CLAY GRAHAM
HAYWOOD JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-181640-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
TNC001-007-009-011-013-015-025-027-029-035-041-049-057-061-063-
065-087-089-093-105-107-111-115-121-123-129-133-137-139-141-143-
145-151-153-155-159-165-169-173-175-177-185-189-181640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT
BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON
CLAIBORNE CLAY COCKE
CUMBERLAND DEKALB FENTRESS
GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN
HAMILTON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KNOX LOUDON MCMINN
MACON MARION MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN OVERTON
PICKETT POLK PUTNAM
RHEA ROANE SCOTT
SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (>95%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.