Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 464
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
PART OF DELAWARE
PART OF MARYLAND
MUCH OF EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SALISBURY MARYLAND TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF SOUTH HILL
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...WW 463...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA AS AIR MASS NOW VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000
J/KG. AS STORMS DEVELOP INTO LINE SEGMENTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
A THREAT ALONG WITH HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 464 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD VA CW 181820Z - 190100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5NE SBY/SALISBURY MD/ - 30NNW AVC/SOUTH HILL VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /4ENE SBY - 47ESE LYH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 37367543 36087826 38097826 39387543
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 464 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 464
VALID 190030Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW ORF
TO 35 NNE RIC TO 45 S WAL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1221
..SMITH..06/19/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC073-095-097-101-103-115-119-131-199-550-650-700-710-735-740-
800-810-830-190140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GLOUCESTER JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER MATHEWS
MIDDLESEX NORTHAMPTON YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ631-632-190140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 464
VALID 182345Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW ORF
TO 35 NNE RIC TO 25 S WAL.
..SMITH..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC073-095-097-101-103-115-119-131-199-550-650-700-710-735-740-
800-810-830-190040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GLOUCESTER JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER MATHEWS
MIDDLESEX NORTHAMPTON YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ631-632-190040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 464
VALID 182135Z - 182240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW DCA TO
10 W NHK TO 25 N SBY.
..SPC..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC039-045-047-182240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
VAC001-007-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-081-085-087-
093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-131-133-135-145-
147-149-159-175-177-181-183-193-199-550-570-595-620-630-650-670-
700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-182240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA BRUNSWICK
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
GREENSVILLE HANOVER HENRICO
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER
LOUISA LUNENBURG MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NEW KENT
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SPOTSYLVANIA
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN FREDERICKSBURG HAMPTON
HOPEWELL NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
PETERSBURG POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH
RICHMOND SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ630-631-632-182240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 464
VALID 182035Z - 182140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-182140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-182140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-009-011-017-019-029-033-035-037-039-041-045-047-182140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CAROLINE
CHARLES DORCHESTER KENT
PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S ST. MARYS
SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
VAC001-007-013-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-059-065-073-075-081-
085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-131-133-
135-145-147-149-153-159-175-177-179-181-183-193-199-510-550-570-
595-600-610-620-630-650-670-683-685-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-
810-830-182140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA ARLINGTON
BRUNSWICK CAROLINE CHARLES CITY
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FAIRFAX FLUVANNA
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY POWHATAN
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD SURRY SUSSEX
WESTMORELAND YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS
EMPORIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FRANKLIN FREDERICKSBURG HAMPTON
HOPEWELL MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-632-182140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 464
VALID 181940Z - 182040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1209
..GARNER..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 464
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-182040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-182040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-009-011-017-019-029-033-035-037-039-041-045-047-182040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CAROLINE
CHARLES DORCHESTER KENT
PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S ST. MARYS
SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
VAC001-007-013-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-059-065-073-075-081-
085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-131-133-
135-145-147-149-153-159-175-177-179-181-183-193-199-510-550-570-
595-600-610-620-630-650-670-683-685-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-
810-830-182040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA ARLINGTON
BRUNSWICK CAROLINE CHARLES CITY
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FAIRFAX FLUVANNA
GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY POWHATAN
PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD SURRY SUSSEX
WESTMORELAND YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS
EMPORIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FRANKLIN FREDERICKSBURG HAMPTON
HOPEWELL MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ532-533-534-535-536-537-630-631-632-182040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.