Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 467
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FAIRMONT
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 462...WW
463...WW 464...WW 465...WW 466...
DISCUSSION...WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS NOW IN
PLACE...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. WITH FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPES AOA 3000 J/KG...SUPERCELLS
INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 467 TORNADO MN 182010Z - 190400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ - 20ESE FRM/FAIRMONT MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /20SW BRD - 41NW MCW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 46139305 43529275 43529534 46139576
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 467 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 467
VALID 190245Z - 190340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW AXN
TO 30 NE AXN.
..GOSS..06/19/09
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 467
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-043-047-049-053-059-063-
065-067-079-085-091-093-095-097-103-121-123-127-129-131-139-141-
143-145-147-151-153-161-163-165-171-190340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH
BROWN CARVER CHIPPEWA
CHISAGO COTTONWOOD DAKOTA
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
HENNEPIN ISANTI JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON NICOLLET
POPE RAMSEY REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEARNS
STEELE SWIFT TODD
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 467
VALID 190140Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW AXN
TO 25 NE AXN.
..GOSS..06/19/09
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 467
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-043-047-049-053-059-063-
065-067-079-085-091-093-095-097-103-121-123-127-129-131-139-141-
143-145-147-151-153-161-163-165-171-190240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH
BROWN CARVER CHIPPEWA
CHISAGO COTTONWOOD DAKOTA
FARIBAULT FREEBORN GOODHUE
HENNEPIN ISANTI JACKSON
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON NICOLLET
POPE RAMSEY REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEARNS
STEELE SWIFT TODD
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 467
VALID 182140Z - 182240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 467
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-041-043-047-049-053-059-
063-065-067-079-085-091-093-095-097-103-121-123-127-129-131-139-
141-143-145-147-149-151-153-161-163-165-171-182240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH
BROWN CARVER CHIPPEWA
CHISAGO COTTONWOOD DAKOTA
DOUGLAS FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN ISANTI
JACKSON KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON
NICOLLET POPE RAMSEY
REDWOOD RENVILLE RICE
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS STEELE STEVENS
SWIFT TODD WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 467
VALID 182045Z - 182140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/18/09
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 467
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-041-043-047-049-053-059-
063-065-067-079-085-091-093-095-097-103-121-123-127-129-131-139-
141-143-145-147-149-151-153-161-163-165-171-182140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH
BROWN CARVER CHIPPEWA
CHISAGO COTTONWOOD DAKOTA
DOUGLAS FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN ISANTI
JACKSON KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON
NICOLLET POPE RAMSEY
REDWOOD RENVILLE RICE
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS STEELE STEVENS
SWIFT TODD WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
