SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 468
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   415 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 415 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   RUSSELL KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 463...WW
   464...WW 465...WW 466...WW 467...
   
   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
   INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACROSS SW KS WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE
   WARMED INTO THE LOW-MID 90S AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE
   60S.  GIVEN RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUBSTANTIAL
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 50-70 KT SWLY FLOW ALOFT...A FEW ORGANIZED
   MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
   HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH LATE EVENING.  ADDITIONALLY...THERE
   WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR OTHER STORMS TO SPREAD INTO SW KS FROM
   THE TX/OK PANHANDLE LATER THIS EVENING.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 468
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   415 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 415 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   RUSSELL KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 461...WW 463...WW
   464...WW 465...WW 466...WW 467...
   
   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE
   INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACROSS SW KS WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE
   WARMED INTO THE LOW-MID 90S AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE
   60S.  GIVEN RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUBSTANTIAL
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 50-70 KT SWLY FLOW ALOFT...A FEW ORGANIZED
   MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
   HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH LATE EVENING.  ADDITIONALLY...THERE
   WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR OTHER STORMS TO SPREAD INTO SW KS FROM
   THE TX/OK PANHANDLE LATER THIS EVENING.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 182112
   WOU8
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 468
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   415 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 468 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   KSC009-047-051-055-057-067-069-081-083-101-105-119-129-135-145-
   165-167-175-189-195-190300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0468.090618T2115Z-090619T0300Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BARTON               EDWARDS             ELLIS               
   FINNEY               FORD                GRANT               
   GRAY                 HASKELL             HODGEMAN            
   LANE                 LINCOLN             MEADE               
   MORTON               NESS                PAWNEE              
   RUSH                 RUSSELL             SEWARD              
   STEVENS              TREGO               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...
   
   
   

   SAW8 
   WW 468 SEVERE TSTM KS 182115Z - 190300Z
   AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   5SSW LBL/LIBERAL KS/ - 20NNW RSL/RUSSELL KS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /4SSW LBL - 60E HLC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
   
   LAT...LON 36970191 39119990 39119802 36970009
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.
   

Watch 468 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 468

VALID 190140Z - 190240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE RSL TO
45 NE DDC TO 50 N DDC TO 30 ESE HLC.

..SMITH..06/19/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 468 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC051-135-165-167-190240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ELLIS		     NESS		 RUSH		     
RUSSELL 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 468

VALID 182140Z - 182240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..SPC..06/18/09

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 468 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

KSC009-047-051-055-057-067-069-081-083-101-105-119-129-135-145-
165-167-175-189-195-182240-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARTON		     EDWARDS		 ELLIS		     
FINNEY		     FORD		 GRANT		     
GRAY		     HASKELL		 HODGEMAN	     
LANE		     LINCOLN		 MEADE		     
MORTON		     NESS		 PAWNEE 	     
RUSH		     RUSSELL		 SEWARD 	     
STEVENS 	     TREGO		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.