SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 472
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
   UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 467. WATCH NUMBER 467 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT
   AFTER 1050 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 469...WW 470...WW 471...
   
   DISCUSSION...MOIST/MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE SRN HALF OF MN...AHEAD OF A NE-SW BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
   AND THUNDERSTORMS.  WHILE THIS CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST
   COUPLE OF HOURS...WELL-DEFINED UPPER SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NRN MN
   CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY EWD -- WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
   SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
    WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...ANY DEVELOPING
   STORMS WOULD LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR -- ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED
   POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  IN
   ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL VEERING WITH HEIGHT SUGGESTS A LIMITED THREAT
   FOR AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO WITH ANY SUSTAINED SUPERCELL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...GOSS

   SEL2
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 472
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
   UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHWEST OF REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 467. WATCH NUMBER 467 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT
   AFTER 1050 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 469...WW 470...WW 471...
   
   DISCUSSION...MOIST/MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS PERSISTS ACROSS PARTS
   OF THE SRN HALF OF MN...AHEAD OF A NE-SW BAND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
   AND THUNDERSTORMS.  WHILE THIS CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST
   COUPLE OF HOURS...WELL-DEFINED UPPER SYSTEM CENTERED OVER NRN MN
   CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY EWD -- WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
   SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
    WITH FAVORABLE SHEAR IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...ANY DEVELOPING
   STORMS WOULD LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR -- ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED
   POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  IN
   ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL VEERING WITH HEIGHT SUGGESTS A LIMITED THREAT
   FOR AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO WITH ANY SUSTAINED SUPERCELL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   
   ...GOSS

   WOUS64 KWNS 190348
   WOU2
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 472
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-043-047-049-053-059-079-085-091-093-
   103-123-127-129-131-139-141-143-147-161-163-165-171-191000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0472.090619T0350Z-090619T1000Z/
   
   MN 
   .    MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ANOKA                BLUE EARTH          BROWN               
   CARVER               CHISAGO             DAKOTA              
   FARIBAULT            FREEBORN            GOODHUE             
   HENNEPIN             ISANTI              LE SUEUR            
   MARTIN               MCLEOD              MEEKER              
   NICOLLET             RAMSEY              REDWOOD             
   RENVILLE             RICE                SCOTT               
   SHERBURNE            SIBLEY              STEELE              
   WASECA               WASHINGTON          WATONWAN            
   WRIGHT               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MPX...
   
   
   

   SAW2 
   WW 472 SEVERE TSTM MN 190350Z - 191000Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   40SSW RWF/REDWOOD FALLS MN/ - 15NE MSP/MINNEAPOLIS MN/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /30SSW RWF - 13NE MSP/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
   
   REPLACES WW 467..MN 
   
   LAT...LON 44889538 45909300 44159300 43159538
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.
   

Watch 472 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 472

VALID 190745Z - 190840Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GUYER..06/19/09

ATTN...WFO...MPX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 472 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-043-047-049-053-059-079-085-091-093-
103-123-127-129-131-139-141-143-147-161-163-165-171-190840-

MN 
.    MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANOKA		     BLUE EARTH 	 BROWN		     
CARVER		     CHISAGO		 DAKOTA 	     
FARIBAULT	     FREEBORN		 GOODHUE	     
HENNEPIN	     ISANTI		 LE SUEUR	     
MCLEOD		     MARTIN		 MEEKER 	     
NICOLLET	     RAMSEY		 REDWOOD	     
RENVILLE	     RICE		 SCOTT		     
SHERBURNE	     SIBLEY		 STEELE 	     
WASECA		     WASHINGTON 	 WATONWAN	     
WRIGHT		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.