Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN MARYLAND PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST OHIO
SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY EVENING FROM 630 PM UNTIL 1100 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF ZANESVILLE OHIO TO 70 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ELKINS
WEST VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 478...WW 479...WW
480...WW 481...
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS APPROACHING E CENTRAL
OH WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING WHILE MOVING ESEWD ALONG
A PRONOUNCED INSTABILITY GRADIENT. A FEED OF MODERATE-STRONG
INSTABILITY FROM THE SW AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL
SUPPORT BOTH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 482 SEVERE TSTM MD OH PA WV 192230Z - 200300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NNW ZZV/ZANESVILLE OH/ - 70ENE EKN/ELKINS WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /25ENE APE - 52NW CSN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 41228212 40137862 38387862 39478212
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 482 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 482
VALID 200140Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE PKB
TO 40 ESE PKB TO 45 WNW EKN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
..SMITH..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 482
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WVC021-200240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GILMER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 482
VALID 200055Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW ZZV
TO 40 WNW EKN TO 35 NNE SHD.
..SMITH..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 482
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC009-115-119-121-127-167-200140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PERRY WASHINGTON
$$
WVC001-017-021-041-071-073-083-085-097-107-200140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR DODDRIDGE GILMER
LEWIS PENDLETON PLEASANTS
RANDOLPH RITCHIE UPSHUR
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 482
VALID 200000Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE MFD TO
20 WSW HLG TO 10 NNW PIT.
..SMITH..06/19/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 482
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC001-023-200140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY GARRETT
$$
OHC009-013-031-059-111-115-119-121-127-167-200140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS BELMONT COSHOCTON
GUERNSEY MONROE MORGAN
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-009-051-059-111-125-129-200140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY BEDFORD FAYETTE
GREENE SOMERSET WASHINGTON
WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC001-009-017-021-023-027-031-033-041-049-051-057-061-069-071-
073-077-083-085-091-093-095-097-103-107-200140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BROOKE DODDRIDGE
GILMER GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY HARRISON LEWIS
MARION MARSHALL MINERAL
MONONGALIA OHIO PENDLETON
PLEASANTS PRESTON RANDOLPH
RITCHIE TAYLOR TUCKER
TYLER UPSHUR WETZEL
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.