Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 483
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INDIANA
EXTREME SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OHIO
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 300 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOUTH
BEND INDIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 478...WW 480...WW
481...WW 482...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ALONG A SLOW-MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN INDIANA MAY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...A LARGE DEVELOPING MCS TO THE W IN IL WILL MOVE ACROSS
INDIANA AND INTO OH LATE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.
ADDITIONALLY...THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES
WHERE THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS MERGE WITH THE LARGER MCS...AND WHERE
THE MCS INTERACTS WITH THE PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS
INDIANA/OH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 483 TORNADO IN MI OH LM 192300Z - 200700Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE SBN/SOUTH BEND IN/ - 40SE IND/INDIANAPOLIS IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /27SE PMM - 42SE IND/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
LAT...LON 42098411 39298416 39298733 42098743
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 483 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 483
VALID 200625Z - 200740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW HUF
TO 45 S MIE TO 15 SSE MIE TO 10 NNE DAY.
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WW 483 MAY BE REPLACED ACROSS SOUTHWEST
INDIANA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 1251
..GUYER..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 483
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC027-055-083-093-101-105-153-200740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAVIESS GREENE KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN MONROE
SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 483
VALID 200435Z - 200540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW LAF
TO 30 S SBN TO 15 WSW AZO AND 5 NW HUF TO 15 WNW IND TO 15 NW MIE
TO 40 SW FDY.
..GOSS..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 483
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-013-027-029-031-035-041-047-055-057-059-063-065-071-079-
081-083-093-095-097-101-105-109-115-119-133-135-137-139-145-153-
155-161-177-200540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN DAVIESS
DEARBORN DECATUR DELAWARE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS
HENRY JACKSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MORGAN OHIO
OWEN PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RIPLEY RUSH SHELBY
SULLIVAN SWITZERLAND UNION
WAYNE
$$
KYC015-037-117-200540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL KENTON
$$
OHC017-025-037-061-109-113-135-149-165-200540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CLERMONT DARKE
HAMILTON MIAMI MONTGOMERY
PREBLE SHELBY WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 483
VALID 200240Z - 200340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW LAF
TO 30 S SBN TO 15 WSW AZO.
..GOSS..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 483
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-029-031-033-035-
039-041-045-047-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-
081-083-085-087-093-095-097-101-103-105-107-109-113-115-119-121-
133-135-137-139-145-151-153-155-157-159-161-165-167-169-171-177-
179-181-183-200340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEARBORN
DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE
ELKHART FAYETTE FOUNTAIN
FRANKLIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NOBLE OHIO
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH
SHELBY STEUBEN SULLIVAN
SWITZERLAND TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WABASH WARREN WAYNE
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
KYC015-037-117-200340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL KENTON
$$
MIC023-027-059-149-200340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH CASS HILLSDALE
ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-011-017-025-037-039-051-061-069-107-109-113-125-135-137-
149-161-165-171-200340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE BUTLER
CLERMONT DARKE DEFIANCE
FULTON HAMILTON HENRY
MERCER MIAMI MONTGOMERY
PAULDING PREBLE PUTNAM
SHELBY VAN WERT WARREN
WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 483
VALID 200135Z - 200240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 483
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
041-045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-
133-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-161-165-167-169-171-177-
179-181-183-200240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FAYETTE FOUNTAIN FULTON
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LA PORTE LAWRENCE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MARTIN
MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NOBLE OWEN
PARKE PULASKI PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH ST. JOSEPH
SHELBY STARKE STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
UNION VERMILLION VIGO
WABASH WARREN WAYNE
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-059-149-200240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
HILLSDALE ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-011-037-039-051-069-107-109-113-125-135-137-149-161-171-
200240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AUGLAIZE DARKE
DEFIANCE FULTON HENRY
MERCER MIAMI MONTGOMERY
PAULDING PREBLE PUTNAM
SHELBY VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ043-046-200240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.