Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 484
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM EDT SAT JUN 20 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST INDIANA
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN HALF OF OHIO
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST WEST VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1250 AM UNTIL 700 AM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF
CINCINNATI OHIO TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PARKERSBURG WEST
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 483...
DISCUSSION...EARLIER CONVECTION WEAKENED ACROSS SE INDIANA...BUT A
NEW CONVECTIVE LINE IS EVOLVING FARTHER TO THE W. THIS CONVECTION
APPEARS TO BE MORE CLOSELY PHASED WITH MID LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING JUST N OF THE WATCH AREA...AND RECENT
RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN ACCELERATED EWD MOTION OF 45-55 KT. GIVEN
THE PRESENCE OF LINGERING MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR
AND INCREASING LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW WITH TIME FROM THE W...THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A CORRIDOR OF DAMAGING WINDS OVERNIGHT FROM SE
INDIANA ALONG THE OH RIVER INTO WV.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27045.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 484 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH WV 200450Z - 201100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45W LUK/CINCINNATI OH/ - 55ESE PKB/PARKERSBURG WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /26W CVG - 19WNW EKN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
LAT...LON 40048526 39978048 38098048 38158526
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 484 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 484
VALID 200945Z - 201040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE SDF TO
25 SSW PKB TO 15 SE HLG.
..GUYER..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-017-019-023-041-043-063-069-081-089-097-103-127-135-161-
181-185-187-191-201-205-209-201040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOURBON BOYD
BRACKEN CARROLL CARTER
ELLIOTT FLEMING GRANT
GREENUP HARRISON HENRY
LAWRENCE LEWIS MASON
NICHOLAS OLDHAM OWEN
PENDLETON ROBERTSON ROWAN
SCOTT
$$
OHC001-087-111-145-201040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS LAWRENCE MONROE
SCIOTO
$$
WVC007-011-013-015-017-021-033-039-041-043-051-053-067-069-079-
085-087-099-101-103-105-201040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN MARSHALL MASON
NICHOLAS OHIO PUTNAM
RITCHIE ROANE WAYNE
WEBSTER WETZEL WIRT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 484
VALID 200835Z - 200940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LUK TO
25 W UNI TO 10 WNW ZZV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1252
..GUYER..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-077-115-117-137-143-155-175-200940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN JEFFERSON
OHIO ORANGE RIPLEY
SCOTT SWITZERLAND WASHINGTON
$$
KYC011-015-017-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-097-103-
117-127-135-161-181-185-187-191-201-205-209-223-200940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOONE BOURBON
BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT
FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT
GREENUP HARRISON HENRY
KENTON LAWRENCE LEWIS
MASON NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT TRIMBLE
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-025-053-059-061-071-073-079-087-105-111-115-
119-121-127-131-141-145-163-167-200940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN CLERMONT GALLIA
GUERNSEY HAMILTON HIGHLAND
HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
WVC007-011-013-015-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-051-053-067-069-
073-079-085-087-095-099-101-103-105-107-200940-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN MARSHALL
MASON NICHOLAS OHIO
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TYLER WAYNE
WEBSTER WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 484
VALID 200725Z - 200840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1252
..GUYER..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-041-047-077-115-117-137-143-155-161-175-177-200840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON OHIO
ORANGE RIPLEY SCOTT
SWITZERLAND UNION WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
KYC011-015-017-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-097-103-
117-127-135-161-181-185-187-191-201-205-209-223-200840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOONE BOURBON
BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT
FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT
GREENUP HARRISON HENRY
KENTON LAWRENCE LEWIS
MASON NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT TRIMBLE
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-047-049-053-057-
059-061-071-073-079-087-089-097-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-127-
129-131-135-141-145-163-165-167-200840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GREENE
GUERNSEY HAMILTON HIGHLAND
HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE
LICKING MADISON MEIGS
MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PERRY PICKAWAY PIKE
PREBLE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
WVC007-011-013-015-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-051-053-067-069-
073-079-085-087-095-099-101-103-105-107-200840-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN MARSHALL
MASON NICHOLAS OHIO
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TYLER WAYNE
WEBSTER WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 484
VALID 200620Z - 200740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..06/20/09
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-041-047-077-115-117-137-143-155-161-175-177-200740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON OHIO
ORANGE RIPLEY SCOTT
SWITZERLAND UNION WASHINGTON
WAYNE
$$
KYC011-015-017-019-023-037-041-043-063-069-077-081-089-097-103-
117-127-135-161-181-185-187-191-201-205-209-223-200740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOONE BOURBON
BOYD BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL CARTER ELLIOTT
FLEMING GALLATIN GRANT
GREENUP HARRISON HENRY
KENTON LAWRENCE LEWIS
MASON NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT TRIMBLE
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-047-049-053-057-
059-061-071-073-079-087-089-097-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-127-
129-131-135-141-145-163-165-167-200740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DARKE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLIA GREENE
GUERNSEY HAMILTON HIGHLAND
HOCKING JACKSON LAWRENCE
LICKING MADISON MEIGS
MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MUSKINGUM NOBLE
PERRY PICKAWAY PIKE
PREBLE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
WVC007-011-013-015-017-021-033-035-039-041-043-051-053-067-069-
073-079-085-087-095-099-101-103-105-107-200740-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAXTON CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE GILMER
HARRISON JACKSON KANAWHA
LEWIS LINCOLN MARSHALL
MASON NICHOLAS OHIO
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RITCHIE
ROANE TYLER WAYNE
WEBSTER WETZEL WIRT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.